mike wrote: (in part) Over the next 20 years he plays a million hands. All of it on dollar
"negative" games like NSUD, 9/6/90 JOB, under 100% progressives. Good
paying games but all negative. However luck rewards Ralph with a few
more royals and a few more 4 deuces than he is "supposed" to get so ends
his life as a sizable winner "over an extended period".
Two things: First of all, you're listing games without considering slot club, mailers, promotions, etc. The games you're listing are frequently over 100% considering everything. When the players in this thread are talking about over-100% opportunities, they are almost certainly considering benefits in addition to the return on the game itself. Most winning video poker players do NOT play games that are over 100% in and of themselves.
Second, you're drawing an isolated hypothetical example. If you are claiming it is possible for 1 guy in many thousands to end up ahead long term while playing slightly negative games, you are absolutely right. It is possible. It is very unlikely however. Smart decision makers go with the likely, not with the remotely possible.
It's remotely possible that Angelina Jolie will leave Brad Pitt and take up with you. But basing your whole life on that possibility is certainly not a good use of your time.
Bob
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