[vpFREE] Re: Best Randomness Analogy Contest

 

>Any stat-head out there want to calculate the odds
of that EXACT distribution occurring in one series of 36 throws?

That's a tough question better suited to the Wizard of Odds, but I'll take a shot at it. There are 11^36=3.09127E+37 possible results from tossing the dice 36 times. You can get the odds of the exact sequence (2,3,3,4,4,4...) by multipling all the probabilities, the result is 3.27375E-36. But this sequence can be arranged many ways, I come up with 4.32569E+29 possibilities (36 ways to place the 2, 35 ways to place the 12, 34x33/2 ways to place the two 3's...). Multiply the two and you get 1.41612E-06 which is about the same as the odds of getting a dealt royal (1.53908E-06).

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 16 JAN 2011

 

Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 16 JAN 2011

"Interesting Reads"

http://jscott.lvablog.com/?p=922

<a href="http://jscott.lvablog.com/?p=922">
http://jscott.lvablog.com/?p=922</a>

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

RE: [vpFREE] Re: Best Randomness Analogy Contest

True, but as the number of rolls approaches infinity the distribution will be exactly that.


To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
From: guruperf@att.net
Date: Fri, 14 Jan 2011 14:11:55 -0800
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Re: Best Randomness Analogy Contest


________________________________

>"Equiprobable & Unpredictable". Everything has an equal chance of occurring and
>you can't predict it.

>Toss two fair dice. Everything has an equal chance of occuring and you can't
>predict it? No, I can predict the follow outcomes:

2 occurs 1 out of 36
3 occurs 2 out of 36
4 occurs 3 out of 36
5 occurs 4 out of 36
6 occurs 5 out of 36
7 occurs 6 out of 36
8 occurs 5 out of 36
9 occurs 4 out of 36
10 occurs 3 out of 36
11 occurs 2 out of 36
12 occurs 1 out of 36

But not in EVERY 36 throws. Any stat-head out there want to calculate the odds
of that EXACT distribution occurring in one series of 36 throws?

._,___

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

------------------------------------

vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm

Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/vpFREE/

<*> Your email settings:
Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/vpFREE/join
(Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
vpFREE-digest@yahoogroups.com
vpFREE-fullfeatured@yahoogroups.com

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
vpFREE-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/

Re: [vpFREE] Re: 8/5 Bonus Poker Quick Quads

 

Correction: the numbers I gave were multiplied by 5, i.e. for a $5 single-line
machine, or $1 (5-play), not $1 single-line. Allow me to restate: 

o For $5 single-line ($30 wager), holding TK despite a fp costs about $0.20,
holding TK despite a 9p costs $0.01.

o For $1 single-line ($6 wager), holding TK despite a fp costs about $0.04, and
holding TK despite a 9p costs about $0.003 (3-tenths of a cent).

But I don't think that was your question. If you're asking what the game EV
difference is between playing computer-perfect (i.e. playing the penalty-card
situations correctly) versus always preferring the K over TK, then I do not know
the answer; I do not have the tool to compute that. In other words, I do not
know how much the game EV drops from the computer-perfect EV of 99.5495% if you
always hold K over TK. It's a very small drop, to be sure, since such hands
doesn't occur very often, and the two holds are very close in value to begin
with: both holds have an total EV of about 2.35-2.40 coins for a 6-coin wager.

JD

On Jan 16, 2011, at 11:03 AM, "quickquadsvp" <quickquads@gmail.com> wrote:

> Can you tell me what the EV difference is between your penalty situation and
>holding only the K?
>

>> JD wrote:
>>
>> Hold TK unless flush penalty or 9, then just hold K.

> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "vegasvpplayer" <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
>>
>>    Dancer says to hold suited "TK" over K.  Wizard says hold just K.  Anybody
>>know which is better?  Does it depend on flush or straight penalty cards?
>>

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
MARKETPLACE

Find useful articles and helpful tips on living with Fibromyalgia. Visit the Fibromyalgia Zone today!

Stay on top of your group activity without leaving the page you're on - Get the Yahoo! Toolbar now.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: This is cool

 

I assume the extra "value" is in the autographs, to someone who is a collector of poker books. I am such a collector, but not so much so as to pay that kind of money, even with the autographs. If I win the lottery in a few days, I might change my mind :)

--BG

> 1b. Re: This is cool
>     Posted by: "the7thwarrior" Judy@realtor.com
> the7thwarrior
>     Date: Sat Jan 15, 2011 10:53 am ((PST))
>
> Not so rare, I have the same book.  I WISH it was
> worth $1000!
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com,
> Meredith And Kenny <meredithandkenny@...> wrote:
> >
> >
> > I guess the person is trying to sell this, maybe one
> of you collect ? nevertheless, it is really cool..
> >
> > http://lasvegas.craigslist.org/bks/2161484013.html
> >
> >

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: Palms bingo cards

 

I saw a big sign in front of the Palms slot club that says they have revised the January 25c/50c video poker bingo cards.

According to the picture on the sign, the new cards do not have any suited straight flushes and are still worth $500 if completed. You can keep playing on your current card or get the revised one, but the stamps from the old card do not transfer to the new card.

I did not see anything about changes to the other denominations.

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
MARKETPLACE

Stay on top of your group activity without leaving the page you're on - Get the Yahoo! Toolbar now.

Find useful articles and helpful tips on living with Fibromyalgia. Visit the Fibromyalgia Zone today!

.

__,_._,___

RE: [vpFREE] Did the .25 three play progressive at the Orleans hit yet?

 

Yes, I saw it get hit at just over $50,000.

From: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com [mailto:vpFREE@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
John
Sent: Sunday, January 16, 2011 8:37 AM
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [vpFREE] Did the .25 three play progressive at the Orleans hit yet?

Last weekend (1/8) it was up to $44,000 +

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

Re: [vpFREE] Re: 8/5 Bonus Poker Quick Quads

 

About $0.2027 on a $1 single-line machine ($6 total wager) for a flush penalty, and only $0.0136 for a 9p.

JD

On Jan 16, 2011, at 11:03 AM, "quickquadsvp" <quickquads@gmail.com> wrote:

> Can you tell me what the EV difference is between your penalty situation and holding only the K?
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "vegasvpplayer" <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
>>
>> Dancer says to hold suited "TK" over K. Wizard says hold just K. Anybody know which is better? Does it depend on flush or straight penalty cards?
>>
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------
>
> vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm
>
> Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

Re: [vpFREE] Re: 8/5 Bonus Poker Quick Quads

Very very small. Is that close enough?


On Sun, Jan 16, 2011 at 11:03 AM, quickquadsvp <quickquads@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>
> Can you tell me what the EV difference is between your penalty situation
> and holding only the K?
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com <vpFREE%40yahoogroups.com>, "vegasvpplayer"
> <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
> >
> > Dancer says to hold suited "TK" over K. Wizard says hold just K. Anybody
> know which is better? Does it depend on flush or straight penalty cards?
> >
>
>
>


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

------------------------------------

vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm

Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/vpFREE/

<*> Your email settings:
Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/vpFREE/join
(Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
vpFREE-digest@yahoogroups.com
vpFREE-fullfeatured@yahoogroups.com

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
vpFREE-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/

Re: [vpFREE] 8/5 Bonus Poker Quick Quads

 

On Sun, Dec 26, 2010 at 8:05 AM, vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@gmail.com> wrote:
>     Dancer says to hold suited "TK" over K.  Wizard says hold just K.  Anybody know which is better?  Does it depend on flush or straight penalty cards?

neither KT or K has any QQ potential, so any standard VP software will
give you the correct answer.

cheers,

five

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: 8/5 Bonus Poker Quick Quads

 

Can you tell me what the EV difference is between your penalty situation and holding only the K?

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "vegasvpplayer" <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
>
> Dancer says to hold suited "TK" over K. Wizard says hold just K. Anybody know which is better? Does it depend on flush or straight penalty cards?
>

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: Did the .25 three play progressive at the Orleans hit yet?

 

what game is this?

what result do you need for the jackpot?

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "John" <johnplevack@...> wrote:
>
> Last weekend (1/8) it was up to $44,000 +
>

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: This is cool

 

>>I guess the person is trying to sell this, maybe one of you collect ?
nevertheless, it is really cool..

_http://lasvegas.http://lasvhttp://lasvegas.http://_
(http://lasvegas.craigslist.org/bks/2161484013.html)
<<

I have a first edition of that book with two signatures. Already turned
down $500 for it :)

Karen

"The less I behave like Whistler's mother the night before, the more I
look like her the morning after"
Tallulah Bankhead

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
MARKETPLACE

Get great advice about dogs and cats. Visit the Dog & Cat Answers Center.

Stay on top of your group activity without leaving the page you're on - Get the Yahoo! Toolbar now.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Did the .25 three play progressive at the Orleans hit yet?

 
__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Scot Krause's VEGAS VALUES - 16 JAN 2011

 

Scot Krause's VEGAS VALUES - 16 JAN 2011

http://www.americancasinoguide.com/vegas-values/january-16-2011-vegas-values-report.html

or

http://tinyurl.com/4djlu63

<a href="http://tinyurl.com/4djlu63">
http://tinyurl.com/4djlu63</a>

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___

Re: [vpFREE] Re: Video Poker on St. Maartens

 

Casino Royale

--- On Sun, 1/16/11, Sylvia <sgosline@gmail.com> wrote:

From: Sylvia <sgosline@gmail.com>
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Video Poker on St. Maartens
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Date: Sunday, January 16, 2011, 9:33 AM

 

I reported full pay deuces at the Maho casino several years ago. I will be very disappointed if they are no longer there because we are going back there for our 25th wedding anniversary in Oct. It was one of the best vacations we have ever had. We stayed in a timeshare that was right next door to the casino with FPDW. I can't remember the name of the casino but it was in Maho Bay.

Sylvia

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
.

__,_._,___
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)