[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 24 JAN 2017

 

NOTI, you repeatedly stress the adverse attention attracted by hitting RF's as a reason to pursue min-cost RF strategy as a means to reduce RF frequency.

This overlooks another factor, that would be exacerbated by min-cost, that can also bring unwanted attention ...

First, let me state at the outset that I predominantly play $1/$2 single line games.  As such, I seldom rack up the $20k+ H/L jackpots that can single out higher stakes players for attention.  That said, what has brought the greater heat to my play is the problem of being a consistent winner, year to year, at some casinos.  Ultimately, this has a tendency to kill discretionary comps (travel, etc) that factor in significantly in my overall EV, and/or may actually reduce standard monthly offers.

I welcome added variance to the extent that I can stomach it.  While I don't savor a significant losing year at a casino, it's inevitable at some place, at some time.  It's merely the function of variance, and such a year tends to cement in place a favorable reception to somewhat "extraordinary" requests that a "winning" player may not otherwise be favored with.

min-cost RF strategy brings with it a lower variance that will smooth out sessions and potentially see consistently positive results in any given year, with related adverse attention (assuming an appreciably attractive play edge).  On the other hand, I'm not sold that the incremental impact of min-cost RF strategy on reducing jackpots will avert adverse attention sufficiently to offset this former factor.



---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <nightoftheiguana2000@...> wrote :


MaxEV is the basis, it's easy to calculate, and it is hard to find an example where it's way off base. It is optimal for maximum EV per hand, but there are other cases where it is less than optimal. Sometimes it makes sense to look at more than just a hand and to look instead at a bigger picture. The classic problem in video poker is the royal flush. A lot of people might think the royal flush is "just another hand", but if you play in real world casinos for a while, you soon learn that it is not, it triggers other events, most of them not helpful, some requiring that you hire a lawyer. Now you could just say "screw it" and go ahead anyway and deal with the royal problems when you get them, but you could also be proactive and make some strategy changes that can reduce the negative aspects of hitting a royal. The classic example is min-cost-royal strategy which minimizes the cost of hitting a royal, commonly used on progressives but it finds use on non-progressives as well. If you want the dirt on min-cost-royal strategy see Kneeland's "Secret World of Video Poker".

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[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 24 JAN 2017

 

Dancer wrote: "I am somebody who accepts that for most players most of the time, choosing the play with maximum expected value is the way to go. Virtually all long-term successful players use these strategies. There are theoreticians who devise special strategies which have different goals than max-EV, but I've never used such a strategy and do not intend to."

MaxEV is the basis, it's easy to calculate, and it is hard to find an example where it's way off base. It is optimal for maximum EV per hand, but there are other cases where it is less than optimal. Sometimes it makes sense to look at more than just a hand and to look instead at a bigger picture. The classic problem in video poker is the royal flush. A lot of people might think the royal flush is "just another hand", but if you play in real world casinos for a while, you soon learn that it is not, it triggers other events, most of them not helpful, some requiring that you hire a lawyer. Now you could just say "screw it" and go ahead anyway and deal with the royal problems when you get them, but you could also be proactive and make some strategy changes that can reduce the negative aspects of hitting a royal. The classic example is min-cost-royal strategy which minimizes the cost of hitting a royal, commonly used on progressives but it finds use on non-progressives as well. If you want the dirt on min-cost-royal strategy see Kneeland's "Secret World of Video Poker". Another example, if you're not sure of the impact of hitting a royal, is to maximize the return of the non-royal hands, max-non-royal-strategy. And of course, if you're using the Kelly system, there is a Kelly optimal strategy. Classic Kelly examples would be to hold 22233 rather than draw to the deuces as in maxEV for FPDW, another would be to hold Aces Full (ex. AAA33) rather than draw to aces as in maxEV for FPDB.

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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 24 JAN 2017

 

I do a lot of reading too.  Mostly when I'm on keno plays.  With video keno all the thinking is done before the play.  There is no thinking on the play. So I usually have my windows phone out reading the news or the gambling forums, and I also have 70 ebooks on my kindle for windows phone.  I read mostly non-fiction but also love historical fiction.

Amazon has a site called BookBub.  I get an email every day from them with ebook offers for $3 or less.  Today's offer is Thomas Cromwell, $1.99, Water to the Angels, 99 cents, and Guadalcanal Diary, $1.99. They also have a selection of free ebooks.

Oh, and I'm in a market where there is no heat on gamblers reading at the machines. 

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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[vpFREE] Aspiration Level 2 trip fiasco

 

 
I have tried to book an Aspiration Level 2 trip to Harrah's Reno since 12/3/16 with no success.   I first tried to contact my host, Carol Ammon, several times.  In December  Hiroko Saito told me Carol had left the company. No one thought to tell me but her voice mail still works as of 11:01 AM on 1/24/17.  .
I have been in contact Hiroko Saito, Isaiah Price, Diabel Samb many times via email, phone and face-to-face.  They were repeatedly told our air itinerary – Peoria – DFW – and arrive in Reno at 12:52 PM , February 27, 2017.  Returns was Reno – DFW – and arrive in Peoria at 2:44 PM  March 2, 2017.  The cost when we first contacted Isaiah Price was Total $694.40 (all passengers) The requested itinerary was repeated in a face-to-face meeting with Isaiah Price.  He had previously gave us the option of flying out of Chicago due to an increase in airfare a "quote back and it was over $200" above the $750 allowed for the Aspiration Level 2 trip.
Isaiah Price was told (and we looked at our preferred itinerary on his computer) thst Chicago was not an option for us..  The flights were still available but the cost was Total $851.20 (all passengers).  We told him to use my wife's Seven Stars Signature Experiences   1 CREDIT in combination to meet the costs.
We finally received booked tickets today. 
DEPARTURE  ORD - Chicago/Ohare, IL    ARRIVAL  RNO - Reno, NV   10:38 PM, Feb 26, 2017
DEPARTURE  RNO - Reno, NV  ARRIVAL  ORD - Chicago/Ohare, IL   :02 PM, Mar 02, 2017
The arrival date is wrong and they booked the trip from Chicago after being told many times that was not acceptable.
I have all this in emails because it became apparent that these people were having trouble doing this simple trip.
The time is almost gone to resolve,1/31/17  Any suggestions to resolve this?    Darryl?

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Posted by: Two Card <two_card@yahoo.com>
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[vpFREE]

 

 
I have tried to book an Aspiration Level 2 trip to Harrah's Reno since 12/3/16 with no success.   I first tried to contact my host, Carol Ammon, several times.  In December  Hiroko Saito told me Carol had left the company. No one thought to tell me but her voice mail still works as of 11:01 AM on 1/24/17.  .
I have been in contact Hiroko Saito, Isaiah Price, Diabel Samb many times via email, phone and face-to-face.  They were repeatedly told our air itinerary – Peoria – DFW – and arrive in Reno at 12:52 PM , February 27, 2017.  Returns was Reno – DFW – and arrive in Peoria at 2:44 PM  March 2, 2017.  The cost when we first contacted Isaiah Price was Total $694.40 (all passengers) The requested itinerary was repeated in a face-to-face meeting with Isaiah Price.  He had previously gave us the option of flying out of Chicago due to an increase in airfare a "quote back and it was over $200" above the $750 allowed for the Aspiration Level 2 trip.
Isaiah Price was told (and we looked at our preferred itinerary on his computer) thst Chicago was not an option for us..  The flights were still available but the cost was Total $851.20 (all passengers).  We told him to use my wife's Seven Stars Signature Experiences   1 CREDIT in combination to meet the costs.
We finally received booked tickets today. 
DEPARTURE  ORD - Chicago/Ohare, IL    ARRIVAL  RNO - Reno, NV   10:38 PM, Feb 26, 2017
DEPARTURE  RNO - Reno, NV  ARRIVAL  ORD - Chicago/Ohare, IL   :02 PM, Mar 02, 2017
The arrival date is wrong and they booked the trip from Chicago after being told many times that was not acceptable.
I have all this in emails because it became apparent that these people were having trouble doing this simple trip.
The time is almost gone to resolve,1/31/17  Any suggestions to resolve this?    Darryl?

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Posted by: Two Card <two_card@yahoo.com>
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[vpFREE] Bob Dancer Column - 24 JAN 2017

 

Bob Dancer Column - 24 JAN 2017

Not What I Thought I Knew

http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/not-thought-knew

or

<a href="http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/not-thought-knew">
http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/not-thought-knew</a>

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Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
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[vpFREE] Scot Krause's Slot Club Spotlight - 24 JAN 2017

 

Scot Krause's Slot Club Spotlight - 24 JAN 2017

Edgewater, Colorado Belle make Laughlin a nice getaway experience

http://www.gamingtoday.com/vegas_style_Casino_Deals/vegas_style/article/65465-Edgewater_Colorado_Belle_make_Laughlin_a_nice_getaway_experience

or

https://goo.gl/QptvmL

or

<a href="https://goo.gl/QptvmL">
https://goo.gl/QptvmL</a>

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Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
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[vpFREE] Scot Krause's Reel Deals - 24 JAN 2017

 

Scot Krause's Reel Deals - 24 JAN 2017

Looking for a Vegas Super Bowl party? Start planning now

http://www.gamingtoday.com/vegas_style/article/65446-Looking_for_a_Vegas_Super_Bowl_party_Start_planning_now

or

https://goo.gl/w9GOyB

or

<a href="https://goo.gl/w9GOyB">
https://goo.gl/w9GOyB</a>

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*************************************************

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Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
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Have you tried the highest rated email app?
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