[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 31 JAN 2017

 

Mickey,


Read the Peter Mucha investigative articles.  The first big win was pure luck.  A lotto ticket purchased by her father.  The 20 year annuity gave her the bankroll to buy mass quantities of high dollar scratch offs.  Grand prizes are not exactly random.  If there are 3 grand prizes they will be located in separate thirds of the total pack of tickets.  The number of tickets left and the number of prizes left are published regularly so sometimes the remaining deck is rich in top prizes.  She also had a friend helping her who also reported a large number of winning tickets.

Mr. Mazur did not due his basic research.

__._,_.___
Posted by: cy4873@hotmail.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (4)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 31 JAN 2017

 

Here is one of the things Ginther knew about those scratchers. However, in Montana its with tickets. The game in the link is called Shake A Day.  It's one of the games in the Montana Lottery.  It's a much smaller scale game than what Ginther was playing but goes to show how to calculate the true cost of a scratcher/ticket.

https://www.montanalottery.com/en/view/treasureplay

 

You can see the cost to purchase a ticket is $3.  The progressive meter starts at $1000.You can see the current amount in the progressive meter. I don't know how much out of each ticket sold goes into the progressive meter but  I've seen the meter go above $7000.  On days where the meter gets up to about $4000 you can see the meter zinging as more and more people jump into the game because of the high number.  There are lottery kiosks in the bars/casinos where people buy the tickets.

On the upper right you can see the odds of making a full house, four of a kind, and five of a kind (jackpot).  You make a full house every 2.5 tickets and it pays $3.  That's a return of 40% (3/7.5).  You make a four of a kind every 55.56 games and it pays $50.  Thats a return of 30% (50/166.68).  So the long term cost of a ticket is 3 X .30 = 90 cents.  In effect its "buy 1 ticket get 2.3333 for free.

The frequency of the five of a kind (jackpot) is 5000.  So the average cost to win the jackpot is $4500 (5000 X 90 cents). I've seen the meter on this game run well above $4500 many times.

 I don't play this game.  My time is worth more on the machines.  But I see other people play it when the number gets up. This one guy comes into the bar with a bucket.  He fastens the bucket to the lottery kiosk then sticks bills into the machine.  The tickets crank out into the bucket while he is sitting at the bar.  Then he grabs the bucket and finds the winning tickets.  He sticks the winning tickets back into the kiosk to get more tickets.  Then hangs the bucket back on the machine, hits the printout button, and goes back to the bar.


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <mickeycrimm@...> wrote :

I think Ginther used mathematical techniques that gave her a way better chance than anyone else had. 

__._,_.___
Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (3)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 31 JAN 2017

 

I think Ginther used mathematical techniques that gave her a way better chance than anyone else had. 

__._,_.___
Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (2)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Re: Down $10k on a 100% .25 denom vp game

 

Dunbar's sims suggest that you are WAY out there (assuming that your error rate is small). Statistical questions must be posed very precisely to have really valid numerical answers, but I think you are pretty safe in claiming a 3+ Sigma run of bad luck and not be called a liar.

I have a suggestion that may be of minuscule value to you. Why not pitch all one gap SFL. I suspect that 

it is better than your current strategy of holding all one gap SFL
you save energy and time by not having to hit any hold buttons
you simplify your strategy sheet by eliminating a line
you are more likely to be able to brag about becoming a member of the exclusive group that have gotten a redraw progressive royal

Good luck. Let us know when you get back to even. I won't hold my breath. 


__._,_.___
Posted by: mile_5280@yahoo.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (12)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Bob Dancer Column - 31 JAN 2017

 

Bob Dancer Column - 31 JAN 2017

Which is More Believable?

http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/which-is-more-believable

or

<a href="http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/which-is-more-believable">
http://www.gamblingwithanedge.com/which-is-more-believable</a>

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

__._,_.___
Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Jan 31- Check your Caesars accts

 

Jan 31 is when you get:

20% tier boost for tier credits earned from Oct-Dec 2016.

5k TC for being Diamond 'Aspirations lvl 1' in 2016.


unfortunately, im 4k tc short. :(

__._,_.___
Posted by: stut70@yahoo.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] 2017Scot Krause's Slot Club Spotlight - 31 JAN 2017

 

2017Scot Krause's Slot Club Spotlight - 31 JAN 2017

Plaza redesigns its Royal Rewards slot program

http://www.gamingtoday.com/vegas_style_Casino_Deals/vegas_style/article/65590-Plaza_redesigns_its_Royal_Rewards_slot_program

or

https://goo.gl/b45ND3

or

<a href="https://goo.gl/b45ND3">
https://goo.gl/b45ND3</a>

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

__._,_.___
Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___

[vpFREE] Scot Krause's Reel Deals - 31 JAN 2017

 

Scot Krause's Reel Deals - 31 JAN 2017

Many spots open up for Super Bowl bash

http://www.gamingtoday.com/nfl/vegas_style/article/65589-Many_spots_open_up_for_Super_Bowl_bash

or

https://goo.gl/x4D209

or

<a href="https://goo.gl/x4D209">
https://goo.gl/x4D209</a>

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

__._,_.___
Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)
Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

__,_._,___
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)