[vpFREE] Re: Read last email first.

 

Double oops with sugar on top. I actually read the middle first, the first second and the last third.

You should try putting on socks that way.

~FK

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "5-card" <5-card@...> wrote:
>
> The post from me that just arrived was sent 3 days ago. When I sent the post
> on Thursday I immediately saw my error and sent a correction. The correction
> appeared in less than a minute. The first one appeared now. So if you read
> the last one first it should make sense.
>

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[vpFREE] Read last email first.

 

The post from me that just arrived was sent 3 days ago. When I sent the post
on Thursday I immediately saw my error and sent a correction. The correction
appeared in less than a minute. The first one appeared now. So if you read
the last one first it should make sense.

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[vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 

Correction: I meant "discounting the points value from the cost", which would be including the value of the points.

I worded this badly-ish, making it harddier to understandilise.

~FK

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Frank" <frank@...> wrote:
> $2,525 (playing a progressive strategy and discounting the points value)

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[vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 

I'm not sure how you derived this number, but it is off by a huge amount. 7/5 JoB at the M reaches 100% (not including meter-rise) at:

$2,525 (playing a progressive strategy and discounting the points value)

$3,028 would be 101.3% edge without meter-rise, and 101.8% with MR included.

And then if you include mailer, $3,028 would be approximately a 102% edge.

~FK

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "5-card" <5-card@...> wrote:

25c 7/5 JB reaches 100% at $3,028.

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[vpFREE] Re: Questions for Bill Zender on the Bob & Frank Show

 

Your questions will be considered and included if there's time.

~FK

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Bob Bartop" <bobbartop@...> wrote:
>
> In anticipation of Bill Zender's appearance on next week's Bob & Frank Show, I thought it might be productive to start a thread where we can organize points and questions that we want to see presented to him during the interview.
>
> Here are some of my ideas:
>
>
>
> 1. How long has he been doing serious consulting? How extensive has his schedule been? Indian Casinos? Racinos? Non-Nevada gaming entities?
>
> 2. He stated in his book something to the effect that sometimes middle-management has agreed with his conclusions, even when his ideas depart from "mainstream", but has sometimes been reluctant to go against the short-sightedness of the owners or top management. Has he seen any change in this since he began consulting? In other words, how effective does he think he has been in "getting the message out"?
>
> 3. Much of what is discussed in Casino-ology and Casino-ology-2 centers around the game of Blackjack. Does he have some equally strong opinions on management of a casino's video poker layout? If so, does he intend to continue his Casino-ology series and cover thoughts on video poker?
>
> 4. Does he recognize and/or agree that causing players to switch from slots to video poker can be tantamount to "player development"?
>
> 5. Does he also recognize and/or agree that a casino can benefit from both recreational players AND pro/winning players if they incorporate the right kind of progressive video poker games in their inventory?
>

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[vpFREE] Re: 4 royal

 

I have played for 65 4ROY without catching one. I guess it might be reasonable to conclude I have played 2800 x 65, a total of 182,000 games without a royal. I haven't hit a royal in this span. So I figure I am 4 1/2 royal cycles without one. Can it be reasonable to assume 4 royal cycles might produce a fair estimate? Is 65 4ROY long enough to get estimate? Anyway I look at it, I feel it's a lomg time since a hit. I only track 4ROYs and cash in and out.

Cheers....Jeep

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, 007 <007@...> wrote:
>
> Except that the straight flush only occurs with 1 of the 5 possible
> 4RFs. I get 2,598,960 / (47 x 20 - 4) = 2777.
>
> >I get one in 2825 deals for a non-deuce, 52 card deck game.
> >
> >2,598,960 possible deals / 20 possible RF4s / 46 "kickers." There are
> >really 48 possible kickers, but one is a dealt Royal, and the other is a dealt
> >SF. So in a deuces game, where you draw to a dealt natural K-hi SF, it's one
> >in 2765 deals.
> >
> >Brian
> >
> >======================================
> >
> >
> >In a message dated 7/17/2011 12:16:54 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
> >whitejeeps@... writes:
> >
> >
> >Does anyone have a number on how often a 4 royal shows up on deal?
> >
> >Cheers...Jeep
> >
> >
> >
> >------------------------------------
> >
> >vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm
> >
> >Yahoo! Groups Links
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>

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[vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, 007 <007@...> wrote:
>
>
> I care so little about short term results that I find even being asked
> how I did recently to be excruciating. I had played video poker for a
> while just before joining a friend to watch a Super Bowl. He
> good-naturedly asked me how I did and I couldn't even bring myself to
> answer.

Heh, that's funny, because I feel the same way. I have one friend who deliberately asks me how I did just because he knows it irritates me. lol

Now if I go to the track it's ok to ask me how I did. But I'm only an occasional horse player so one should be willing to listen to me cry and whine about how I lost a photo finish and how the jockey stiffed him. But if I just played video poker or live poker, please don't ask, short term doesn't matter. lol

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[vpFREE] CES

 

If you want to register for the big Consumer Electronics Show in Vegas for
free, you must do so before Sept. 1. See below. Go to CESweb.org or
register. The tradeshow is for industry professionals. If you do not have an
industry affiliation, you can normally get in with a business card for
something that sounds industry related, such as "Vegas Electronics Corp." or
similar.


Arlington, Va., July 12, 2011 – The Consumer Electronics Association
(CEA)® today announced that registration is open for the 2012 International
CES®, the world's largest consumer technology tradeshow, scheduled January
10-13, 2012 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Now through August 31, registration for the 2012 International CES is free
to industry professionals. A registration fee of $100 will go into effect
starting September 1, and the fee will increase to $200 at 5:01 p.m. EST
December 30. Hotel rooms in Las Vegas, available through a special block for
_CES registrants_ (http://lists.ce.org/t/4643800/18583009/26403/0/) , are
currently at some of the lowest rates in years. Attendees and media can
register today at _CESweb.org_ (http://lists.ce.org/t/4643800/18583009/27443/0/)
.

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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Re: [vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 

Q #1: only for a 'pro' and most folks break it down in months
         or years, not 'lifetime'.  Those time periods count, too.
 
#2:  Because their time frame is different than yours.
       Most folks look at it on a per trip or per day or
       even per session basis.  And most people hope
       to win, but EXPECT and plan to have fun.  How
       many points does 'having fun' add to your EV?
 
#3:  That's just silly, Frank.
       People call it winning in their own way.
       My ex-girlfriend's mother would play slots
       until she was so broke, she could not pay
       for food and had to wait for us to go out.
       But she always breathlessly told us how
       much she 'won' with fire in her eyes and
       color in her cheeks as she remembered.
 
       It's all in each person's perceptions as
       compared to their expectations.  She
       dropped $500, but felt like a winner.
 
       I ground out $50 an hour in blackjack,
       but to her, I was a 'loser' because I
       had no jackpot stories.

--- On Sun, 7/17/11, Frank <frank@progressivevp.com> wrote:

From: Frank <frank@progressivevp.com>
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Date: Sunday, July 17, 2011, 1:27 PM

 

For me the issue is I never know. If someone asks me, "how are you doing today?" I'd have to make five phone calls and tally the results of my partners to give a meaningful answer.

Sometimes, I only find out how I'm doing during the weekly square-up, and this number itself seems just as pointless when taking into account the yearly result, or my lifetime earn.

Honestly, people's fixation with daily results and compartmentalization of "how they are doing" into tiny segmented slices of time simply seems bizarre and short sighted to me.

If someone is down $20,000 in casinos overall and hits a $1,000 Royal with no cost on a particular day, they are not "winning" a thousand dollars, they are losing $19,000. Any attempt to spin this as a "win" would seem to require several layers of cognitive distortion, bad record keeping and selective memory to achieve.

From my POV, one cannot claim to be winning if one is down money overall. To do so would seem to be self delusion at best, and outright lying at worst.

By the same token, someone that's ahead gambling overall could not really book a loser in a casino, unless they first lost everything back that they had already made.

This entire topic has perplexed me for years. I'd like to understand it better, if people wouldn't mind sharing their thoughts. So here's the questions I'll pose:

1. Isn't being ahead overall in casinos for your life more important than what happens on any given day?

2. How can people ever claim to be winning, if they are really down huge amounts of money over their life in casinos?

3. Would it not be correct only for people who are ahead in casinos overall in their life, to ever claim that they are "winning"?

~FK

P.S. My guess is that there will be as much confusion on this topic as there was on the whole long vs short term thing, which I found to be immensely illuminating. I hope I have not disturbed a hornet's nest here. Everyone remember that when talking about opinions, their can be many different views and no one side is the absolute truth.

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, 007 <007@...> wrote:
I care so little about short term results that I find even being asked
> how I did recently to be excruciating. I had played video poker for a
> while just before joining a friend to watch a Super Bowl. He
> good-naturedly asked me how I did and I couldn't even bring myself to
> answer. One thing I like about what Rob pointed out about
> progressives is that the fact that I'm probably not going to hit any
> particular one makes it easy for me to accept losing, since it's the
> most likely result. But it's funny how the same skill of having a
> long run point of view doesn't always apply to other areas of life. I
> used to play tennis a lot. Particularly after "playing well" for a
> while, when I then "played poorly," I'd get so mad, whether at myself,
> the ball, my racket, the weather, God, or whatever. It never occurred
> to me until years later that the difference between the two was just
> luck, which I could have accepted as calmly as I usually accept luck
> in gambling.
>

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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Re: [vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 

1.Isn't being ahead overall in casinos for your life more important than what happens on any given day?

*** Yes. But I must add that, even though true, only partly helps the irritating melancholy on a losing day.

2. How can people ever claim to be winning, if they are really down huge amounts of money over their life in casinos?

*** They do it, as you said, by using "several layers of cognitive distortion, bad record keeping and selective memory". Also, because it makes them feel good, and they're happy because they did win right then.

3. Would it not be correct only for people who are ahead in casinos overall in their life, to ever claim that they are "winning"?

***Yes, I agree. But then I actually think that many people don't think of it as one long session, and never perceive it that way. To those people, it's a day to day enterprise and their happiness or the opposite depends on those latest results.

Valerie

__________ Information from ESET NOD32 Antivirus, version of virus signature database 6302 (20110717) __________

The message was checked by ESET NOD32 Antivirus.

http://www.eset.com

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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[vpFREE] Re: SP vs. The M. Was: New Game Suggestion for FrankNBobs

 



For me the issue is I never know. If someone asks me, "how are you doing today?" I'd have to make five phone calls and tally the results of my partners to give a meaningful answer.

Sometimes, I only find out how I'm doing during the weekly square-up, and this number itself seems just as pointless when taking into account the yearly result, or my lifetime earn.

Honestly, people's fixation with daily results and compartmentalization of "how they are doing" into tiny segmented slices of time simply seems bizarre and short sighted to me.

If someone is down $20,000 in casinos overall and hits a $1,000 Royal with no cost on a particular day, they are not "winning" a thousand dollars, they are losing $19,000. Any attempt to spin this as a "win" would seem to require several layers of cognitive distortion, bad record keeping and selective memory to achieve.

From my POV, one cannot claim to be winning if one is down money overall. To do so would seem to be self delusion at best, and outright lying at worst.

By the same token, someone that's ahead gambling overall could not really book a loser in a casino, unless they first lost everything back that they had already made.

This entire topic has perplexed me for years. I'd like to understand it better, if people wouldn't mind sharing their thoughts. So here's the questions I'll pose:

1. Isn't being ahead overall in casinos for your life more important than what happens on any given day?

2. How can people ever claim to be winning, if they are really down huge amounts of money over their life in casinos?

3. Would it not be correct only for people who are ahead in casinos overall in their life, to ever claim that they are "winning"?

~FK

P.S. My guess is that there will be as much confusion on this topic as there was on the whole long vs short term thing, which I found to be immensely illuminating. I hope I have not disturbed a hornet's nest here. Everyone remember that when talking about opinions, their can be many different views and no one side is the absolute truth.

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, 007 <007@...> wrote:
I care so little about short term results that I find even being asked
> how I did recently to be excruciating. I had played video poker for a
> while just before joining a friend to watch a Super Bowl. He
> good-naturedly asked me how I did and I couldn't even bring myself to
> answer. One thing I like about what Rob pointed out about
> progressives is that the fact that I'm probably not going to hit any
> particular one makes it easy for me to accept losing, since it's the
> most likely result. But it's funny how the same skill of having a
> long run point of view doesn't always apply to other areas of life. I
> used to play tennis a lot. Particularly after "playing well" for a
> while, when I then "played poorly," I'd get so mad, whether at myself,
> the ball, my racket, the weather, God, or whatever. It never occurred
> to me until years later that the difference between the two was just
> luck, which I could have accepted as calmly as I usually accept luck
> in gambling.
>

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Re: [vpFREE] Re: 4 royal

 

First, you should have multiplied by 47/48 to account for the royal
flush being excluded. Then, it needs to be divided by 5 to account
for the 5 different places that the non-royal card can be. Then, I
assume, since Jeep didn't specify whether the 4 to the royal would be
drawn to or not, the king high straight flush should be eliminated,
although if "shows up" implies that it should include the times when
it won't be drawn to, 1 in 2765 is the real answer.

laserjobs wrote:

>Delt Royal would be 1/(5/13 x 4/51 x 3/50 x 2/49 x 1/48)
>So 4 to a royal should be 1/(5/13 x 4/51 x 3/50 x 2/49)
>
>--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "whitejeeps" <whitejeeps@...> wrote:
>>
>> Does anyone have a number on how often a 4 royal shows up on deal?
>>
>> Cheers...Jeep
>>
>

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Re: [vpFREE] 4 royal

 

Right. Missed that. Thanks for the correction, Tom. One deal in 2777 it is!

Brian

==================================


In a message dated 7/17/2011 12:37:52 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
007@embarqmail.com writes:


Except that the straight flush only occurs with 1 of the 5 possible
4RFs. I get 2,598,960 / (47 x 20 - 4) = 2777.

>I get one in 2825 deals for a non-deuce, 52 card deck game.
>
>2,598,960 possible deals / 20 possible RF4s / 46 "kickers." There are
>really 48 possible kickers, but one is a dealt Royal, and the other is a
dealt
>SF. So in a deuces game, where you draw to a dealt natural K-hi SF, it's
one
>in 2765 deals.
>
>Brian
>
>======================================
>
>
>In a message dated 7/17/2011 12:16:54 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
>whitejeeps@yahoo.com writes:
>
>
>Does anyone have a number on how often a 4 royal shows up on deal?
>
>Cheers...Jeep
>
>
>
>------------------------------------
>
>vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm
>
>Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>
>
>
>
>[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

------------------------------------

vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm

Yahoo! Groups Links

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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Re: [vpFREE] 4 royal

 

Except that the straight flush only occurs with 1 of the 5 possible
4RFs. I get 2,598,960 / (47 x 20 - 4) = 2777.

>I get one in 2825 deals for a non-deuce, 52 card deck game.
>
>2,598,960 possible deals / 20 possible RF4s / 46 "kickers." There are
>really 48 possible kickers, but one is a dealt Royal, and the other is a dealt
>SF. So in a deuces game, where you draw to a dealt natural K-hi SF, it's one
>in 2765 deals.
>
>Brian
>
>======================================
>
>
>In a message dated 7/17/2011 12:16:54 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
>whitejeeps@yahoo.com writes:
>
>
>Does anyone have a number on how often a 4 royal shows up on deal?
>
>Cheers...Jeep
>
>
>
>------------------------------------
>
>vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm
>
>Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>
>
>
>
>[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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