Re: [vpFREE] Barona

 

On Fri, Dec 23, 2016 at 11:28 AM, Vegasvpplayer vegasvpplayer@gmail.com [vpFREE] <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
Just got my January mailer. "Beginning January 2017, when you play video poker on a point multiplier day, you will earn 3X points". Candy store closed. Gone are the days of high denomination multiline NSUD with accurate Autohold and up to 1.1% cash back. It was fun while it lasted.

At least they didn't reduce the payback or cut the multiplier to zero or do away with points altogether, like many casinos do.

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Posted by: Darrell G <darrellg@gmail.com>
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 20 DEC 2016

 

An example: There's a kiosk promotion, you might play a video poker machine depending on the EV of the kiosk promotion. In the promotion, you have a choice of three boxes, and it says the value behind each box is either $1, $5, or $1000, and after you make your choice, the other boxes are revealed so you can verify this. Your initial estimate of EV is: (1+5+1000)/3 = $335.33 . You use your watch's second hand to randomize your pick (every gambler knows how to do this, right?) and after 10 picks you've received $1 every time. What's your estimate of EV now? Still sticking with $335.33? How many picks of $1 will it take before you realize it's a weighted or even fixed promotion? Or will you just play forever on the assumption that your initial guess at EV must be 100% correct? Your luck has to turn eventually, right?

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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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[vpFREE] Some Palms News

 

Looks like they are still moving machines around a little at the Palms. The four 100% payback uprights have returned with 5c, 10c and 25c FPDW, 10/7 DB, 10/6 DDB and 15/8 Loose Deuces. They are still just outside China House but on the other side of the bank from the previous 100% machines.

The 3 slant-tops with 10/6 DDB now have stickers saying they take $4 to earn a point. Used to be $2.

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Posted by: savorvpx <savorvpx@yahoo.com>
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[vpFREE] Plaza Database

 

The 17 slant-tops with 9/6 Bonus Deluxe etc. are still there near the sportsbook bar. They have been moved around a bit and now in three banks of 2 + 8 + 7.

From: "Vegasvpplayer vegasvpplayer@gmail.com [vpFREE]" <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>

Lots of machines have been moved or replaced with slot machines. The machine with 25c to $2 10/7 Double Bonus is still there but the one that only goes up to $1 appears to be a casualty.

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Posted by: savorvpx <savorvpx@yahoo.com>
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer Column - 20 DEC 2016

 

Tom wrote: "How would Bayes' Theorem go about estimating the chance that a video poker machine is gaffed?  I understand that it would use the results of play on the machine, but if it needs one's initial estimate of the probability, isn't it dependent on a factor that, it's assumed, has no value?"

Almost all gambling involves an initial guess at the EV. One example I can think of that does not would be video poker with autohold (and a non-gaffed machine). Another example would be a kiosk promotion where you have equal weighted choices, also rare, most are weighted or even fixed. But the EV of most video poker (no autohold) varies widely depending on how on plays in the casino environment. That doesn't mean the initial guess as no value, it's either a high quality guess or a low quality guess, you use the actual results as they come in to fine tune your final estimate of what the true EV is. The point is that there is feedback, a control loop, you don't just blindly dump all your bankroll on the assumption that the initial guess at EV is 100% correct. In the real world, results do matter. You're either winning or losing and it's either do to variance or an incorrect EV guess. You should figure out which it is and if it's due to an incorrect EV guess, you should really make an adjustment, hence an adjustment based on results.



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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

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[vpFREE] Barona

 

Just got my January mailer. "Beginning January 2017, when you play video poker on a point multiplier day, you will earn 3X points". Candy store closed. Gone are the days of high denomination multiline NSUD with accurate Autohold and up to 1.1% cash back. It was fun while it lasted.

Sent from my iPhone

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Posted by: Vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@gmail.com>
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Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.

.

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[vpFREE] 2016 Expiring ACG Books-4 books left

 

I have 4 new 2016 American Casino Guide Books left.  All coupons are valid thru Dec. 30 or 31.  If you would like a book or two: $6 each or two for $10.  No mailing.  I can meet you somewhere in Vegas mutually convenient for us.  Contact me privately if interested.  krauseinvegas@cox.net

 

Scot

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Posted by: "Scot Krause" <krauseinvegas@cox.net>
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