Poker Poker Poker!: 11/13/15

I know some people get perturbed when I write about extinct plays. The plays might be extinct but the concepts never die. You never can tell when history will repeat itself, or some similar game develops. But I will move on to one of my current vulture plays.

The game is called Jackpot Rocket. In the screenshot you will see a 7-spot keno game. On the payscale you can see the Hit Column, Win Column, Progressive Column, and the Countdown Column. This is a two-coin quarter game and the win column reflects that. This game has 5% worth of meters. Here is a screenshot of the game:

http://www.imgur.com/MquQoVY http://www.imgur.com/MquQoVY
The 7/7 meter starts at $700, runs 2% but caps at $800.
The 6/7 meter starts at $250, runs at 1%, but will run at 3% when the 7/7 meter caps.
The 5/7 meter starts at $165.50 and runs at 1%. If the 6/7 meter caps the 5/7 meter goes to 4%.
The 4/7 meter starts at $102.50 and runs at 1%.

The Countdowns are all at reset. Take the 4/7 countdown for example. In the picture you can see that the countdown is at 248. You you hit a 4/7 the countdown will move down to 247. Hit another 4/7 and the countdown will drop to 246, etc. When you hit all 248 4/7's you will get the money in the meter. The countdowns for the other hits work the same way.

Playing straight through this game has about a 95% return. But I don't play them straight through. I vulture them. Take a look at this next screenshot. I play them when I find them like this. You can see that the countdown on the 4/7 is 40. This is a strong play, at least through hitting 40 4/7's.

http://www.imgur.com/H2cVI8f http://www.imgur.com/H2cVI8f

I used to have to do the math right at the machine when I found plays like this. But I'm high tech now. I have a keno calculator right on my phone. Anytime I find a play with a theoretical of 110% or higher I play it off. In the case here the first 39 4/7's pay 5 for 1. The 40th pays 261 for 1 ($130.45 is 261 bets). So the average value of the 4/7 is 11.4 for 1. The frequency on the 4/7 is 19.16.

11.4/19.16 = 59.5%

I punch the rest of the payscale into the keno calculator but leave the 4/7 on zero. The return shows 56.3%.

59.5% + 56.3% = 115.8%. Adding the 1% meter means the play is at 116.8% through hitting 40 4/7's.

The expectation is to play 766 games to hit 40 4/7's (19.16 X 40 = 766). Thats a wager of $383.

$383 X 16.8% = an average earn of $64.

On turbo speed the game plays at 44 games per minute. So the average seat time on the play is 19 minutes. In other words, my seat time in these spots is worth about $190 an hour. However, I spend considerable time looking for these plays. But I do manage to get in several plays a day with advantages similar to this one.

I not only get plays on the 4/7, I also get plays on the 5/7 and 6/7.

This is my style of gambling. I have a variety of short term plays like this. It's why I can tell people I don't have losing months or even losing weeks. And it is extremely rare that I have a losing day. I don't win on every play. But I win on 90% of them.

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com

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As stated earlier, Doug Reul invented the flush 50 strategy for Unlinked Flush Attack. In the same article he also wrote about the concept of sweeping through the machines to get a much bigger edge.

My first trip to Northern Nevada was in 1998. I came in from the Utah side and stopped in Wendover. I found a bank of 4 unlinked Flush Attacks. So I swept through them. Then the machines just sat there not getting any action from the ploppies. It wasn't a good spot for sweeping Flush Attacks.

My next stop was Elko where I found a bank of 8 unlinked machines in the Red Lion....and two more across the street in Gold Country. Elko was a great spot for sweeping Flush Attacks. The business in the Red Lion was all novice gamblers on 2 and three day junkets. They were flown in and out on Millionaire Express. The Flush Attacks got plenty of action.

The sweep works like this:

You arrive at the casino and sit down on a Flush Attack machine. Your objective is to play until you collect the bonus flush (125). Then you cash out, move to the next machine and do the same thing. When you collect the bonus flush on that machine you cash out, move to the next machine, and do the same thing. You do this until you have swept through all the machines.

With this process you are picking up all the 5 coin flushes made by the ploppies before they quit the machine. What I know when I sit down on a machine is I'm going to make either 2, 3 or four flushes before cashing out. The Flush Attacks in Elko were the 7/5 variety with a theoretical of 100.7824%. Let's see if I can remember these numbers correctly:

On the plays where I had to make 4 flushes to clear the machine my theoretical was 100.78%
On the plays where I had to make only 3 flushes to clear the machine my theoretical was 103.8%.
On the plays where I had to make only 2 flushes to clear the machine my theoretical was 109.87%.

I carried a pocket notebook and wrote down how many flushes I had to make on each machine. A line in the notebook would look like this:

34224342324

I used these numbers to determine what theoretical I was playing at. In Elkoj my average was 2.9 flushes per play. But we'll round that off to 3. Playing stratight through the theoretical was 100.78% and the average value of the flush is 10 for 1. But by sweeping through the machines and picking up all the 5 coin flushes made by the ploppies I only had to make 3 flushes per play. Which meant that the average value of the flush for me was 11.67. The first two flushes pay 5 for 1. The third flush pays 25 for one. That's an average of 11.67 bets returned per flush. That brings the theoretical up to 103.8%.

At that time the Red Lion also had ten unlinked House a' Rockin's. This was also a Sigma game that worked the same way as Flush Attack, except it was based on Full Houses. It was 8/5 Double Bonus with every 6th Full House paying 40 for 1. I'll write about this game later.

On the Flush Attacks I would do a sweep in the morning then let the ploppies play. I would do another sweep in the afternoon. Then another sweep about 8:00 PM every night. I was doing about 30 plays or about 5000 hands per day with a theoretical of 103.8%. The expectation was about $240 a day. And I also got all the Motel 6's that were left.

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