RE: [vpFREE] The Dice Challenge

 

Great post vp wiz. Alan just doesn't get that unpaired dice come in 2 different orders. Only one combination makes 2-2 so the frequency is 36. But when one die comes a 2 and the other a 6 it comes in two different orders and the frequency is 18. Same for 2-5,2-4/,2/3,2/1. Which means an unpaired 2 comes every 3.6 rolls. Meanwhile that hard 4 only comes every 36 rolls.

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LVA - 19 MAY 2015

 


Tell me we're talking about a hooker and pimp and I might grasp the logic ...

Otherwise, exactly what business did they intend to conduct in NYC in lieu of Dim Sum?

One's time is worth a given sum only if the alternate opportunity exists in the moment.

- H.


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <cdgnpc@...> wrote :

A year or two ago, someone posted that he and his wife were doing a cruise out of NYC and one or both of them had never done the tourist thing here. I offered to show them a Chinatown Dim Sum meal. The response I got was that their time was worth $200 an hour. Those of us with normal day jobs can afford not to be as 'aggressive' as others who do this full time.

Rich


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Posted by: harry.porter@verizon.net
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RE: [vpFREE] The Dice Challenge

 


I don't know Alan, but the length he's gone to demonstrate "he's right" (see:
How do you interpret the "dice problem"? http://forum.alanbestbuys.com/showthread.php?3502-How-do-you-interpret-the-quot-dice-problem-quot&s=1c768edfc6b90501abd865a145dcdef5



How do you interpret the "dice problem"? http://forum.alanbestbuys.com/showthread.php?3502-How-do-you-interpret-the-quot-dice-problem-quot&s=1c768edfc6b90501abd865a145dcdef5 Let me just sum this up and return to the basic question. Just in case you missed the other threads this is the original "dice problem" as posted on the Wizard of Vegas message board: You have two 6-sided dice in a cup. You shake the dice, and slam the cup down onto the ...



View on forum.alanbestbuys.com http://forum.alanbestbuys.com/showthread.php?3502-How-do-you-interpret-the-quot-dice-problem-quot&s=1c768edfc6b90501abd865a145dcdef5
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is a classic example of having "the blinders on".

I don't always get things right the first time, but my first impulse when challenged is to examine the other guys argument for validity. I doubt Alan gave Shack 2 seconds of reconsideration.

It's a 5 minute exercise to test this "at home" with a couple of dice. Keep track of rolls (200-300 probably will lead to a good indication of the correct result) counting the rolls with at least one "2" showing, and how many show 2's on both dice.

In very short order, had Alan done this, he'd be questioning his stand.

I'd suggest he's in for a good dose of embarrassment were it not for the fact that he's likely to remain blind to the truth in his determination to be right.

- H.

---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <mickeycrimm@...> wrote :

Alan has made so many snide remarks about the Wiz being wrong that I think the Wiz is motivated to prove Alan wrong. I don't know how well they know each other but Alan has been a long time member of the Wiz's forum.



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[vpFREE] Scot Krause's LVA Players Club Bonus Points Update - 29 MAY 2015

 

Scot Krause's LVA Players Club Bonus Points Update - 29 MAY 2015

http://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/greatdeals-slotpromotions.cfm

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This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
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Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
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[vpFREE] Re: Horseshoe Baltimore "Legendary Gift" 6/7/15

 
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LVA - 19 MAY 2015

 

Or another, maybe better way to put it:

If your goal is bankroll growth with zero risk of ruin, keep your bankroll over variance/edge/2 bets (or half the Kelly number if you know it).

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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LVA - 19 MAY 2015

 

I wrote: "OK, but you still need a definition for "significant and consistent overbetting"."

And I'm proposing: keep EV-Variance/Bankroll/2 positive. If you have a monster bankroll, this just reduces to keep EV positive or keep yourself from running out before you die, but most of us don't have monster bankrolls. If you have tolerance of risk of ruin and a gameplan for potential bankruptcy, then you can be more aggressive and use the ROR equations and software.

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RE: [vpFREE] The Dice Challenge

 

Alan Mendelsen is a known craps player. And he plays $5 video poker. I think Aces & Faces is his favorite game. It could be him. But Caesars is his favorite haunt.

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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RE: [vpFREE] The Dice Challenge

 

Last November in Bellagio for a short while I watched a man playing solo ( the table had a reserved sign on it) at a $100 craps table. He was about six one and I'd say somewhere in his late sixties/early seventies. Needless to say he had thousands on the table during most rolls.
The dealers called him Alan.
Watched for awhile while he seemed to be winning.
Strolled past the table maybe an hour later and his fortunes had changed and so had his attitude. Sport jacket was off and he was pounding his hand on the rail with each seven out that he rolled.


At one time he said to one of the female dealers"... do you know who I am ?..."


She shook her head no...


Was this Alan Mendelson ??


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