> Helena, Montana instituted a smoking ban that included 
 bars/casinos.  
 > These are small casinos.  Up to 20 machines.  You have to have a 
 > liquor license to obtain a gaming license so the machines are either 
 > in the bar or a room adjacent to the bar.  There are about 20 of 
 > these casinos in Helena.  
 > 
 > The smoking ban lasted six months.  During that time these  
 > bar/casinos experienced a $5,000,000 shortfall in revenue.  The 
 > smoking ban was found unconstitutional for, of all reasons, the law 
 > didn't provide for a jury trial for anyone accused of breaking it.
 > 
 > When the ban lifted revenue returned to pre-ban levels.  That's hard 
 > evidence.  
 
 Short term effects such as this are not surprising.  I agree that 
 anyone who thinks this won't happen is self-serving.  
 
 What is less clear is the long-term effects of such bans.  CA poker
 rooms do not seem to be suffereing.  But as is so often the case, it
 is difficult to isolate one variable.  If a competing casion opens
 around the same time as a smoking ban, it is almost impossible to
 sift out which factor led to a decrease in revenues.
 
 I suspect a smoking ban would do great harm to LV casinos.  Many of
 their best customers (whales) come from overseas where smoking is 
 more prevalent.  These gamblers have choices such as Macau or Europe,
 I suspect many of them will simply go elsewhere.  I think US 
 customers would adapt, especially if the bans are ubiquitous within
 the US.
 
 In no way does this unfortunate side effect mean that smoking bans 
 should be put to a halt.  Such an argument would be akin to saying
 that hard hats should not be required in constrction zones.
 
 It does mean the NV casinow will fight it to the death or until
 they lose millions in law suits.  This is one reason we have federal 
 health standards.  NV casinos (and therefore the entire state) 
 cannot be trusted.  The speical interest group (casinos) is too
 strong here.
 
 Even changes as clearly beneficial as the refrigerator
 will have a negative impact upon some businesses.
 
 Businesses must adapt to changing conditions. If they cannot, they 
 perish.  Would you get rid of iPods so that Tower Records can keep
 its market share?  Or would you have outlawed refrigerators 
 to protect the iceman.  Or maybe local taxes go up.  Or whatever.  
 
 OSHA rules in places like construction sites probably cost
 businesses millions in costs associated with compliance.   
 This is no different.  If a few businesses go broke, then they 
 go broke.  The casinos have no entitilement to protection from
 such changes.
 
 As for the lawsuits....
 a casino worker won such a case.  Back in 2002-2003 I predicted
 this exact thing would kill public smoking, including specifically 
 the case of dealers and their extreme exposure to 2nd hand smoke.
 I believe that eventually the cost of lawsuits will become too high.
 Now it seems to have begun.
 
 QuadZilla
 
 
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