[vpFREE] 2017 American Casino Guide Books Sale

 

As a writer and contributor to the American Casino Guide book (I write the weekly Vegas Values column on the website too) I am once again pleased to announce and offer a special discount price on orders for the 2017 book before they hit the stores.  The American Casino Guide, by Steve Bourie, has been published annually since 1992 and is the most comprehensive book available for information on all U.S. casinos, including all casino/resorts, riverboats and Indian casinos. The 2017 edition includes gambling articles and strategies by the nation's leading gaming writers and detailed information on more than 700 casinos in 41 states.  Best of all, the new 496 page book includes over 200 coupons  valued at well over $1,000 with many new coupons and matchplays.  Coupon offers all valid now thru the end of 2017 include: Free shows, Free buffets, Free slot play, Free hotel rooms, Free match play money, Free drinks, great discounts and more! View the complete list of coupons here: http://www.americancasinoguide.com/2017-american-casino-guide-coupon-list      

 

TO ORDER: The retail price of the book is regularly $18.95, but to purchase the book at a special discount price of $12.48 plus shipping click to order here: http://www.americancasinoguide.com/scot-krause-ordering-page

 

The shipping cost is $4.50 (if you order "Media Mail") for the first book and

$1 for each additional book ordered.  Books are shipped within 2 days.

 

This special price is available for a limited time only valid now through midnight, Sunday, November 20, 2016.  Makes a great Christmas gift too!

 

Enjoy the book! Thanks for your support!

 

Best wishes,

 

Scot

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Posted by: "Scot Krause" <krauseinvegas@cox.net>
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Good day correction

 

rreid you are absolutely right. The probability of a redraw royal = the probability of being dealt a hand that requires a 5 card draw • the probability of drawing a royal given the undealt 47 card subset. A very complicated problem. You have one idea wrong however. Given you're drawing 5 cards (jacks or better) the 47 card subset contains all the jacks, queens, kings and aces (might be missing exactly one 10). If you don't throw away a ten the probability of drawing a royal = 4/1533939=1/383484.75. If one 10 is thrown away the probability of drawing a royal= 3/1533939=1/511313. In both cases the probability of the redraw royal is quite a bit more than the probability of being dealt a royal (from a 52 card deck). I hope this helps everyone in this group.

Sent from my iPhone

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Posted by: Steve Norden <nordo123@aol.com>
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Good day correction

 

Re: Odds of making a royal through throwing all five cards away on the flop. 

This is not an easy calculation for me because of variables.  And I'm not known for trying to come up with proper equations when I have no financial incentive. So I can ball park the thing pretty easy but won't attempt to zero in.

At 9/6 Jacks the game stats show 84,360 combinations out of 2,598,960 where you will throw away all five cards.  Thats a frequency of 30.81 games. 

With 47 cards left in the deck there are 1,533,939 possible combinations (47X46X45X44X43/5X4X3X2X1).

The problem from here on out is probably over 50% of the time the five card hand you throw away will have a ten in it. Which means there will be only 3 possible royals remaining in the deck.  I'm going to go with 55%.

1,533,939/3 = 511,313
1,533,939/4 = 383,485

So 55% of the time it will be 30.81 X 511,313 = 15,753,553

And 45% of the time it will be 30.81 X 383,485 = 11,815,172

Averaging it together I come up with a frequency of 13,981,282. So you could say 1 in 14 million hands. No wonder it took me so long to hit one. 

This is my take on it but I'm just an amateur mathematician.  I'll leave it up to better mathematicians to zero in on the frequency.  

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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Re: [vpFREE] Re: Good day correction

 

I've played for more than ten years, every weekend when Kansas City had good video poker, less now that we have to do our play in St. Louis, Tunica and Las Vegas.  I've had two dealt royals in that time and strangely they both happened about six months apart in a year where we were not playing every weekend.  I've never had a drawn royal.  I know the odds of being dealt a royal are about one every 650,000 hands. I've always had trouble working out probability problems.  How would you calculate how many hands on average for a drawn royal?  I think it would be the probability of being dealt no hold cards times 650,000, but I don't know how to calculate the probability of being dealt no hold cards.


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Posted by: rreid01@yahoo.com
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