[vpFREE] Re: Good Machines at Downtown Grand??

 


True enough, Harry.   With 0.25% cb, a $25,000 bankroll would only crash 1.9% of the time, vs 6.1% without the cashback.  (I'm still assuming a 0.1% error cost.)

--Dunbar

---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <harry.porter@...> wrote :

Picture is a little rosier w/ a 0.25% cb add that I suspect was applicable back then ...


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <h_dunbar@...> wrote :

"When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that."

That's a surprisingly good conservative estimate of bankroll requirement, considering it was 25 years ago.  The mathematical solution wasn't published until about 5 years later.

If you play perfectly, a $40K bankroll will allow you to play $1 single-line FPDW forever with just a 0.54% chance of going broke.  If you are human, and say make errors costing you about 0.1% of your bets, then the chance of going broke on a $40K bankroll rises to 1.1%.   For comparison, someone attempting that with a $25K bankroll (and making errors costing 1.1% of his/her bets) would have a risk of ruin of 6.1%.   

--Dunbar


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <gamb00ler@...> wrote :

When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that.  I'm pretty sure this was just a guess based on experience rather than mathematics.  Not a bad guesstimate, it seems.

My wife and I played about 22K hands of single line FPDW without any quad 2's but 2 RF's for a net win of 500 bets.  Can you say "roller coaster"?

G'luck all,
Gamb00ler



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[vpFREE] Re: Good Machines at Downtown Grand??

 

I have been playing at the Downtown Grand every day since Tuesday. There was never a problem getting on any single line FPDW-plenty of machines available. The two multiline machines were always tied up. The $2 denom started to be removed early Saturday morning and were all gone by 8 AM Saturday. The $1 was still easily available all day Saturday. 

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[vpFREE] Re: Good Machines at Downtown Grand??

 

Picture is a little rosier w/ a 0.25% cb add that I suspect was applicable back then ...



---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <h_dunbar@...> wrote :

"When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that."

That's a surprisingly good conservative estimate of bankroll requirement, considering it was 25 years ago.  The mathematical solution wasn't published until about 5 years later.

If you play perfectly, a $40K bankroll will allow you to play $1 single-line FPDW forever with just a 0.54% chance of going broke.  If you are human, and say make errors costing you about 0.1% of your bets, then the chance of going broke on a $40K bankroll rises to 1.1%.   For comparison, someone attempting that with a $25K bankroll (and making errors costing 1.1% of his/her bets) would have a risk of ruin of 6.1%.   

--Dunbar


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <gamb00ler@...> wrote :

When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that.  I'm pretty sure this was just a guess based on experience rather than mathematics.  Not a bad guesstimate, it seems.

My wife and I played about 22K hands of single line FPDW without any quad 2's but 2 RF's for a net win of 500 bets.  Can you say "roller coaster"?

G'luck all,
Gamb00ler



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Posted by: harry.porter@verizon.net
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[vpFREE] Vegas Values - 21 JUL 2019

 

Vegas Values - 21 JUL 2019

https://www.americancasinoguidebook.com/vegas-values/vegas-values-report-7-21-19-the-best-las-vegas-casino-promotions.html

or

https://tinyurl.com/yx8r4lef

*************************************************
This link is posted for informational purposes
and doesn't constitute an endorsement or approval
of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
*************************************************

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[vpFREE] Re: Good Machines at Downtown Grand??

 

"When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that."

That's a surprisingly good conservative estimate of bankroll requirement, considering it was 25 years ago.  The mathematical solution wasn't published until about 5 years later.

If you play perfectly, a $40K bankroll will allow you to play $1 single-line FPDW forever with just a 0.54% chance of going broke.  If you are human, and say make errors costing you about 0.1% of your bets, then the chance of going broke on a $40K bankroll rises to 1.1%.   For comparison, someone attempting that with a $25K bankroll (and making errors costing 1.1% of his/her bets) would have a risk of ruin of 6.1%.   

--Dunbar


---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <gamb00ler@...> wrote :

When I started playing a lot of VP 25+ years ago it was mostly single line $ FPDW.  The local VP pros at that time said you needed a 40K bankroll for that.  I'm pretty sure this was just a guess based on experience rather than mathematics.  Not a bad guesstimate, it seems.

My wife and I played about 22K hands of single line FPDW without any quad 2's but 2 RF's for a net win of 500 bets.  Can you say "roller coaster"?

G'luck all,
Gamb00ler



dunbar wrote :

The chance of finding yourself $2000 behind at some point when playing $1 FPDW is 77%.   It might take a while, though--the chance of being $2000 behind in the first 20 hours is "only" 26%.

If you play $2 five-play FPDW, the chance of being $10,000 in the hole at some point is 64%.  Even with a $50K  bankroll, you'd still have more than a 10% chance of going broke.

--Dunbar

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[vpFREE] Re: Harrahs group changes name, and how to subscribe if you are interested

 

Misscraps,


I would like to join the caesarsMGM yahoo group.  I belong to vpFREE and the acvpp groups.  Am currently Titanium through Boyd (via Boyd's acquisition of PNK--won't continue after 2019) and my wife and I are both Seven Stars with Harrah's Cherokee as our primary these days.

Max Bett

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