[vpFREE] Re: GETTING LUCKY

 

Sam, I have a lot of things written that are in thumb drive. But I've been a slouch these last few years. I'm either getting drunk in a bar or I'm out working it. There doesn't seem to be enough time to write about it.

I need to find a way to convey this old freight tramp's story. I fear that I will die before I can tell the story about how a homeless drifter rose up to become one of the best machine pros in the world.

All of that is on me. I'm really crying and snivrlling about it. How to turn nothing into something is a story the whole world should know.
I really need to hole up someplace and write the story.

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015

 

The really big trick is finding a game that's got a 2% E.V.

Regards
A.P.

From: mailto:vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Saturday, July 04, 2015 3:13 PM
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015

bobbartop wrote: "This is ridiculous. If you put in 10 million hands with a 2% EV on a game with 28 variance the only way you ain't gonna win is if you continuously get robbed in the parking lot. Guaranteed!"

2% EV with 28 variance has a pretty nice N0 of 28/.02/.02 = 70,000 hands, so 10 million hands would be almost 143 N0 cycles. There's always a little tail of black swans, but once you get beyond 25N0 it's almost a sure thing, at least your odds of losing are probably less than the odds of getting cheated or robbed in the parking lot or your hotel room.

at N0 (1sd) there is a 15.87% chance of losing
at 4N0 (2sd) there is a 2.28% chance of losing
at 9N0 (3sd) there is a 0.13% chance of losing
at 16N0 (4sd) there is a 0.0032% chance of losing
at 25N0 (5sd) there is a 0.00003% chance of losing

68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule

68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule In statistics, the so-called 68–95–99.7 rule is a shorthand used to remember the percentage of values that lie within a band around the mean in a normal...

View on en.wikiped... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule
Preview by Yahoo

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Posted by: "Albert Pearson" <ehpee@rogers.com>
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Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015

 

bobbartop wrote: "This is ridiculous. If you put in 10 million hands with a 2% EV on a game with 28 variance the only way you ain't gonna win is if you continuously get robbed in the parking lot. Guaranteed!"

2% EV with 28 variance has a pretty nice N0 of 28/.02/.02 = 70,000 hands, so 10 million hands would be almost 143 N0 cycles. There's always a little tail of black swans, but once you get beyond 25N0 it's almost a sure thing, at least your odds of losing are probably less than the odds of getting cheated or robbed in the parking lot or your hotel room.

at N0 (1sd) there is a 15.87% chance of losing
at 4N0 (2sd) there is a 2.28% chance of losing
at 9N0 (3sd) there is a 0.13% chance of losing
at 16N0 (4sd) there is a 0.0032% chance of losing
at 25N0 (5sd) there is a 0.00003% chance of losing

68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule

68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule In statistics, the so-called 68–95–99.7 rule is a shorthand used to remember the percentage of values that lie within a band around the mean in a normal...



View on en.wikiped... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68-95-99.7_rule
Preview by Yahoo




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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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[vpFREE] Re: GETTING LUCKY

 

Thanks for the advice, NOTI. I think I will look into that.

BTW, I only had the play in the picture for 2 and a half days. I found it in a dive bar in Deer Lodge. The little joint just couldn't take the losses. I heard the owner on the phone to the slot route operator "Get your *&%&$*^%$#%* asses down here and figure out why I'm getting my *&$$#%()^%$$% ass kicked on this one machine."

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Posted by: mickeycrimm@yahoo.com
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[vpFREE] Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 3 JUL 2015

 

Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 3 JUL 2015

MORE JULY PROMOTIONS NOTES

http://jscott.lvablog.com/?p=3961

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of the linked article's content by vpFREE. Any
discussion of the article must be done in
accordance with vpFREE's rules and policies.
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Posted by: vpFREE3355 <vpfree3355@gmail.com>
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Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Atlantis Digression (Re: Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015)

 



been goin for years ,been there, lol, was 86d once,  went to the pepp
for a while, 2 years of profit got me the silent treatment from them,
now i am goin thru that with boyd casinos downtown after 5 years of
NSUD playing with full RFB . miss the brewpub at MSS
I blind e-mailed the pepp and Atlantis for a super bowl party invite
this year , got invite from both and used them .  My old casino host
at the pepp been a real help so far,  but at as long as Atlantis be
good to me will favor them.
If not  adjust
Time wounds all heals, i mean heals all wounds,  when facts change so
will i lol and with casinos they do as you well know
I just comped myself to free rooms at the fremont per their website
,will discuss my RFB with my casino host IF she responds to my e-mail
, if not when i check in.  If bad response will find another place in
vegas,  got a name of a host at the D , Maybe Plaza . South Point
possibille.
Will adjust as always . lol ,
nice to hear from you harry
M J

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Posted by: mike perry <mjperr82@yahoo.com>
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[vpFREE] Re: GETTING LUCKY

 

Mickey, I think all of us old-timers have always known you are the best.
Whenever you start writing that book, keep me in mind for editing.
"Sam"

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Posted by: BeckSam <becksam@aol.com>
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Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015

 

Sure.

Regards
A.P.

From: mailto:vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, July 03, 2015 9:15 PM
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's LVA - 30 JUN 2015

"I am not recommending any action. My only point in all of my posts on this subject is that nothing you do will guarantee a win. All you can do is make it highly likely that you will win, if you do everything right."

"Highly likely?" Uh, how about more likely or most likely?

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Posted by: "Albert Pearson" <ehpee@rogers.com>
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[vpFREE] Re: GETTING LUCKY

 

mickey writes: "How its done is a question that I will only answer in the future. All you kind folks better hope I die a slow death. If I drop dead of a heart attack you will never get the answer."

You should put it all in a "diary" or personal memoir to be released by your estate only upon your untimely death. Better yet, make sure Bob Nersesian is your estate lawyer, I'm sure he'd know how to handle it. If you wanted to make some money off of the idea now, maybe you can do one of those crowd funding things where they pay you to write it and get a copy only upon your untimely death.

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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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