--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, marccarfi@... wrote:
>Well,my "indicator" is waiting for 1 win to occur which means that it also is a lagging indicator.I'll always miss the first win because I have to wait for it to occur.But if the RNG "desides to deal me lets say 7 wins in a row,I'll be in on the last 6.
Test your indicator out. Say it's a coin flip and you only bet when your indicator tells you to, here are the possible patterns:
100: result: you lose one bet
101: result: you lose one bet
110: result: you win one but lose one
111: result: you win two bets
net result: even
but the 101 and 111 patterns retrigger your indicator, so:
1010: lose one additional bet
1011: win one additional bet
1110: lose one additional bet
1111: win one additional bet
net result: even
and so on
conjecture: your indicator is no better or worse than random when it comes to the net result
