The biggest mistake good handicappers make is not using inductive reasoning. Just because a horse has not won on current conditions doesn't mean it won't do it today. Animal Kingdom proved that today and am surprised the price wasn't higher.
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "dunbar_dra" <h_dunbar@...> wrote:
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> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, coachvee@ wrote:
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> > Hi Gang:
> > Here are my picks for tomorrow’s Kentucky Derby with a little analysis of
> > each horse. Good luck to everyone. Enjoy the spectacle!!
> > Regards,
> > CoachVee
> > 1. MASTER OF HOUNDS (No. 11, 30-1). European invader lost by nostril
> > to superstar filly at 1 3/16 miles in UAE Derby off long layoff; stalking
> > style perfect for this race and breeding says he’ll love distance; picks up
> > Eclipse-winning jock.
> > 2. MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE (No. 15, 10-1). Probably ran Derby distance
> > when four-wide throughout in Santa Anita Derby score; Baffert master at
> > preparing horses for this race; working like gangbusters over track.
> > 3. NEHRO (No. 19, 6-1). Improving colt just missed in last two,
> > including neck loss in Arkansas Derby; trainer/jock combo top notch; will be
> > charging hard through stretch.
> > 4. DIALED IN (No. 8, 4-1). Likely favorite has few flaws; right there
> > in four lifetime starts and trainer has won this race twice; might be left
> > with too much to do.
> > LONGSHOT SPECIAL: ANIMAL KINGDOM (No. 16, 30-1). Honest,
> > hard-knocking colt getting good at right time; bred to run all day; handles any
> > surface.
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> > [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
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> I agree with your high opinion of Nehro and Midnight Interlude. They would be co-favorites in my own line at about 9-1.
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> I like your longshot, too, though your comment "handles any surface" is a stretch.
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