[vpFREE] Re: A Hypothetical Question

 

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "alan3262" <alan3262@...> wrote:
>But in video poker, I think you start out betting substantially less than $1,000/hand.

Probably true. One hand of 9-6 JOB has only a 24% win rate, because on average when you win you go over the goal. The more hands you play, the more your win rate approaches 50% on a breakeven game, but the more hands you play, the more vig you pay on a negative game, so there your win rate approaches 0%. You should account for the vig, if your goal is win $1,000 but the vig is $5, then you really need to win $1005. If you have to put in $2000 coin-in to win the $1000, then the vig is $10, and you really need to win $1010, and so on. There's probably an optimal in there somewhere. You could figure it out with Lotspiech's gambler's ruin calculator:

http://www.lotspiech.com/poker/GamblersRuin.html

Or ask Frank what he'd charge to figure it out?

I have a for free guess, I'd guess about $100, but that could be way off, I just don't know. You have to run the numbers and see.

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