[vpFREE] Re: Informal, SERIOUS survey on Quick Quads

 

No, only the 29,000 initial deals matter.  The OP was talking about 29,000 rounds in a row without dealt quads.  The chances for that happening to anyone is simply (4164/4165)^29,000 = 0.000945666 = 1 in 1057.4558  That's it.


If you would rather look at it terms of dealt quad cycles, you can do it this way (closest dealt quad cycle to original poster in bold):
All answers will be close to 1/e^cycles where e = 2.718281828459045

4165 rounds:  ~1/e  actual 0.3678352736 = 1 in 2.7186082246
8330 rounds:  ~1/e^2  actual 0.1353027885 = 1 in 7.3908306791
12495 rounds: ~1/e^3 actual 0.0497691382 = 1 in 20.0927730712
16660 rounds: ~1/e^4 actual 0.0183068446 = 1 in 54.6243781272
20825 rounds:  ~1/e^5 actual 0.0067339032 = 1 in 148.5022836427
24990 rounds:  ~1/e^6 actual 0.0024769671 = 1 in 403.7195296895
29155 rounds:  ~1/e^7 actual 0.0009111159 = 1 in 1097.5552338636
33320 rounds: ~1/e^8 actual 0.0003351406 = 1 in 2983.8226857834
37485 rounds:  ~1/e^9 actual 0.0001232765 = 1 in 8111.8448944517
41650 rounds:  ~1/e^10 actual 0.0000453455 = 1 in 22052.9282470973

Now all these results above WILL happen at some point on a random video poker machine.  So just the 29,000 hands in a row without a dealt quad is not enough proof of anything "rigged".

Keep in mind I have not considered any of the OP's other claims at this point in a "rigged" determination.  If you lump everything he wrote together, it's possible the machine is rigged.  The casino is well within its right to break multiple states' laws and risk its future well-being by "rigging" machines. Rob Singer disturbingly emailed me about my previous response and called me an "addict" because I generally trust that casinos generally obey state laws.  With the tons of 8/5 and 7/5 DDB that is constantly played in casinos across the country with over half of those players breaking 2 pair with Kings, Queens, or Jacks, why shouldn't I?

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Posted by: tringlomane@yahoo.com
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