Re: [vpFREE] Re: Luck versus Skill question for Iguana and Texas Hold'em players

I have thoughts about the IGT bot. If you aren't a proven, successful
high-stakes heads-up limit hold'em player, I expect you to get slaughtered.

Ed

On Wed, Mar 27, 2013 at 1:40 PM, nightoftheiguana2000 <
nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com> wrote:

> **
>
>
> The variance of basic blackjack is something like 2, seems like hold'em
> should be some small multiple of that, I dunno, maybe 4 or 5, I think that
> kind of figure has been floated before. Sklansky's twoplustwo.com might
> have some info. Bob should get Sklansky on his radio show. Once you have
> the variance, the SD can be approximated as half the average pot times
> sqrt(variance x hands). Hold'em edges are usually expressed in terms of
> BigBlinds per hour, like 1-2BB/hour. Also, in hold'em, how you play effects
> the variance, there are plays that increase the variance and there are
> plays that decrease it, like "pot control". The igt bot is mostly a
> hyper-LAG and the best response to that is to call a lot but not raise a
> lot, that might give you some ideas of how to play. Hyper-LAG itself is a
> high variance strategy. Ed Miller, the "noted poker authority", used to be
> on this forum, maybe he has some ideas of how to play the igt bot.
>
> Strategy discussion:
> http://www.lvrevealed.com/articles/research/selby.html
> http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/109/heads-up-limit/
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "kcace1024" <cy4873@...> wrote:
> >
> > The best EV game left at one of my local casinos may be the Head Up
> Texas Hold'em game. How many hands will I need to play to have a good
> estimate of the house or player edge? I guess the average pot size may be
> required to figure the variance?
> >
> > If I assume no edge (breakeven play) what is the equation to get the
> standard deviation for profit or loss after N hands. Can I use average pot
> size and treat it like N coin flips or does the variation in pot size
> affect the result. If I can play this game at breakeven then I can earn
> freeplay and comps.
> >
> > I found a robot to play Heads Up on the Kongregate web site. Does anyone
> know of other robots I can play online for practice? Is there a basic
> strategy (like in blackjack) for playing robots heads up?
> >
> > Thanks,
> >
> > Chris
> >
>
>
>


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