Harry wrote:
> The probability of 60 games without a hit is "simple math"
>
>The frequency of a 60 game drought over successive 60 game trials is also "simple math"
>
>The frequency of a 60 game drought over successive individual game trials is, I believe, strikingly more complex math. I'd welcome an argument to convince me otherwise.
Assuming the 60 trials resets after each win, there shouldn't be any
difference between any of these. Over 60 trials, without a guarantee,
there will be 2.59 hits. The guarantee adds 0.07 hits, so that the
overall chance is 2.66 out of 60.
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Posted by: 007 <007@embarqmail.com>
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