[vpFREE] RE: Pick 'em Poker Risk of ruin calculation

 

Dunbar's Risk Analyzer for Video Poker will do RoR calcs for Pick'em.   You can include the slight payoff variation in your local version as well as the cashback.    DRA-VP will do both longterm and short-term RoR calcs.


In fact, Pick'em was the reason I created DRA-VP in the first place.   I wanted to know how much money I needed to bring with me on a weekend trip to Mohegan Sun.  I knew from the jazbo/sorokin formula how much money I'd need to play Pick'em indefinitely, but how much did I need if I wanted to play the game for 16 hours?  I created an Excel sheet to get the answer, and then thought others might find it useful, too.


--Dunbar  



---In vpfree@yahoogroups.com, <eric_vp1991@...> wrote:

Greetings from Southeastern Wisconsin. In my local casino, there is a bank of $1 near full pay (1195 instead of 1199 for a straight flush) Pick 'em Poker returning 99.9510% with a variance of 14.995645 and a 0.125% cash back slot club. All things considered, it should be a positive EV game 24/7.

Here's my question: what is the risk of ruin at 50%, 25%, 10% etc.? I cannot find a RoR calculator for Pick 'em Poker anywhere online.

If anyone has any idea on where to find one or has the drive to make one, I think that would help the community immensely.

Thanks
-Eric

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