RE: [vpFREE] RE: Today I was dealt a Sequential Royal Flush!

 

What are the odds of getting the ACES 4 aces in ACES Bonus.
 
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
From: alan3262@yahoo.com
Date: Wed, 13 Nov 2013 16:47:03 -0800
Subject: [vpFREE] RE: Today I was dealt a Sequential Royal Flush!

 

Thanks for the correction, I need to pay more attention to what I'm reading.  That is pretty amazing.



---In vpfree@yahoogroups.com, <harry.porter@...> wrote:

 Odds in the original post were for a DEALT sequential royal flush, ordered A-T



---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <alan3262@...> wrote:

Where do you get odds of 1 in 77,968,800 for a sequential royal flush?  Not knowing exactly what game you were playing, let's say the probability of a royal flush is 1 in 40,000.  The probability that given a royal flush, it is sequential, is 1 in 60 (assuming that either A/K/Q/J/10 or 10/J/Q/K/A counts).  Multiply the 2 numbers, and you get 1 in 2.4 million.


The 1/60 value assumes that you are not doing anything differently to get a sequential royal flush compared to trying to get any royal flush.  I'm not clear if the jackpot required a sequential royal flush, or if it was for any royal flush.  If it was only for a sequential, there would probably be some strategy adjustments if you had 2 or more royal flush cards in the right positions, so that might increase the chances slightly that a royal flush will be sequential.


If the progressive is for any royal flush, with a jackpot that high (I'm assuming your nickel machine required only 5 nickels for the jackpot of $545.15, which is over 2.7x the normal payout), you would probably be making major adjustments to your strategy in order to maximize EV, and these adjustments would increase the probability of a royal flush.  For example, you would most likely always keep a high pair over 3 to a royal flush.  In that case, your chances of getting a royal flush (including sequential royal flushes) would improve somewhat.



---In vpfree@yahoogroups.com, <neocacher@...> wrote:

Too bad it was only in nickels!  However it was a Progressive with 3x points .5% slot club. The EV was 100.3% today, that is why I was playing it.  Dealt AKQJ10 hearts.

This is the one of the only 100+% opportunities in Deadwood, SD. Odds are 77,968,800 to one. But you already knew that!

Truly a once in a lifetime event for me, I am sure.

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