For not laying out all the math you were very close.
If you mean the dollar then the number is closer to $22,500...no need to sugar coat it.
For the quarter it would be $5,625
That's 72 hours of constant play at 1000 HPH without a Royal, the chance of which is 11%. The other 89% have less grim stories to tell. And about 70% of those will be ahead at least a little. The remaining 30% (of the 89%) will be buying new cars. But hay, that's gambling. I thought you all liked gambling?
Here's the exact numbers.
Using Poisson Distribution we get:
72,000 hands
0 RF = 10.291%
1 RF = 23.4%
2 RF = 26.65%
3 RF = 20.166%
4 RF = 11.464%
5 RF = 5.214%
6 RF = 1.976%
Now imagine the cost remains the same, 22,500 in loses.
Then a $14,000 for each Royal you got and see how it breaks down. Anything more than 1 RF in 72,000 hands and you are a happy camper.
~FK
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "mike" <melbedewy1226@...> wrote:
I'm not going to lay out all the math but suffice to say if you play the dollar progressive at 1000 hands an hour for 72 hours without a royal you are likely to be down a little north of 20 grand.
> Not really a great vacation at least for me. I'll stick to quarter FPDW, play leisurely and yes I will have a cocktail thank you very much.
