[vpFREE] Re: Best Randomness Analogy Contest

 

>I would like to start a contest for the best analogy to explain why it's a bad
idea to look for patterns in random events.

Unless you already know all the probabilities involved with 100% certainty (are you sure you know them all?), I don't think it's a bad idea to look for patterns in random events. You just have to be careful with your conclusions. It's like the conclusion that real estate never goes down. That's only true if you filter the data first.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rorsach_test
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tasseography
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FnMLGkj91Og
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yG5e1oaen-M

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