Poker Poker Poker!: Re: [vpFREE] Holding a wild royal or going for the "real thing" on a 100-play machine

The crappiness of the machine made the difference less
than normal. A wild Royal normally pays 25 coins,
which would have given you a guaranteed 12500 coins.
You can only evaluate your decision based on
probabilities not on possibilities. This is what you
did and you came to the correct conclusion and action.

Regards
A.P.
--- Will <will@express-pc.com> wrote:

> I know that basic strategy should be the same for a
> hundred-play
> machine as it is for a single-play machine. The
> other day I went to
> the Riviera and sat down at a penny 100-play DW
> machine and my first
> hand was a dealt royal with deuces. I looked on the
> Wizard's site
> from my cellphone real quick because I didn't know
> if it'd be
> appropriate to keep it or to drop the deuce (heh)
> and go for the full
> royal. He's got a wild Royal at a value of 25, and
> 4-to-a-Royal at
> 3.404. However, it seems to me that on a hundred
> play machine,
> you're essentially going to get two Royals on
> average (based on 48
> remaining cards in the deck, and an equal chance of
> any of them
> coming up), six wild royals, six straights, and
> eighteen flushes.
> And depending on what card you're missing, I suppose
> two potential
> straight flushes. So it'd be a lot smaller of a
> difference in payout
> between those two choices.
>
> I don't know what the paytable was on this machine
> because I was just
> looking to kill some time with someone who wanted
> the machine next to
> it, but I know it paid 20 for a wild Royal, so I
> assume it was the
> standard Deuces Wild paytable. That gives us a
> guaranteed 10000
> credit win (holding the dealt wild royal) compared
> to a theoretical
> (8000 + 600 + 60 + 180 + 90) = 8930 payout.
>
> Is it just because of the crappy paytable on the
> penny machine I was
> playing that's causing such a difference? Seems
> like 4-to-a-royal
> should have a significantly higher theoretical than
> it does. I'm
> guessing I made the right move but I also figure
> that there's the
> potential for more than two Royals to have come up,
> giving a much
> higher payout.
>
>