Just to flesh this out a bit, take the wizard's strategy generator, or your strategy generator of choice, and set the royal and straight flush to zero. The result is Jacks or better, quads or less, short term strategy, and it tells you that the top cycle is 423 (quads), the average return is 97.5%, and the per hand variance is 3.5 . You have to have a sample size, I suggest 5x the top cycle, so that's 5x423 = 2115. Now you can figure a percent standard deviation for that sample size: sqrt(variance x 2115)/2115 = 4.1% . So, for a sample size of 2115, you expect results somewhere in the region of 93.4% to 101.6%, 68% of the time. You might occasionally see outliers over 3sd, or less than 85.2% or more than 109.8%, in addition to any royals or straight flushes you may incidentally hit, in theory you could even lose every single one of those 2115 bets, but that's why they call it gambling. Now you go play in the real casino environment on real casino machines and start recording your results for sessions of 2115 hands, if you hit any straight flushes or royals, those are extras that go straight into your pocket or purse or wherever you hide your money (I don't want to know) and don't count for the session results. Same with any bounceback or swag or show-up money you get from the casino, those don't count for your session results, that's all extra gravy that hopefully you are getting lots of to help fund your gambling habit. You should start to see a trend through the noise, most likely you're not quite getting the computer optimal results, maybe even substantially less. That's how casinos make their money. If playing 2115 hands is too boring for you, take up a low variance game like blackjack, roulette, or craps, or just buy lottery or keno or sports bet tickets when there's an overlay, or no overlay, hey, gambler's choice.
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Posted by: nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com
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