Just one comment regarding this statement. If one discards a ten
(correct play) would not that reduce the odds even more?
On Wed, Oct 15, 2014 at 10:23 AM, Nordo123@aol.com [vpFREE] wrote:
What kelso and the others forgot is the chance of being dealt a 5 card
hand that you discard. Again using Bayes Therom (one of my favorites),
Probability(Redraw Royal) = Probability(Royal given you discard your
hand) x Probability(Being dealt a hand that you discard). That's the
catch. Your initial 5 cards must consist of 5 cards all of rank 10 or
lower which are all of different ranks, no flush, no straight, no 4 card
flush, no 4 card open ended straight and no 3 card straight flush. That
is why a redraw royal is so much more unlikely than a dealt royal.
People like Bob Dancer are much more likely than myself to get a redraw
Royal due to the number of hands played. I play mostly single line and
Bob and others play a lot of multi-line. Anyway congratulations to all
that have redrawn a royal, I don't believe I ever will.
Sent from my iPhone
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
Posted by: arthur textor <atexman@optonline.net>
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