What kelso and the others forgot is the chance of being dealt a 5 card hand that you discard. Again using Bayes Therom (one of my favorites), Probability(Redraw Royal) = Probability(Royal given you discard your hand) x Probability(Being dealt a hand that you discard). That's the catch. Your initial 5 cards must consist of 5 cards all of rank 10 or lower which are all of different ranks, no flush, no straight, no 4 card flush, no 4 card open ended straight and no 3 card straight flush. That is why a redraw royal is so much more unlikely than a dealt royal. People like Bob Dancer are much more likely than myself to get a redraw Royal due to the number of hands played. I play mostly single line and Bob and others play a lot of multi-line. Anyway congratulations to all that have redrawn a royal, I don't believe I ever will.
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Posted by: nordo123@aol.com
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