Here's my two cents, coming from a non-professional who takes video poker as a very serious hobby, but is still learning the game.
I'll use the example of a manufacturing facility (you could probably use a computer program too). It is extremely difficult to pump out product that is 100% perfect all the time, even more so when starting up. That doesn't mean that the owner of the plant doesn't want to put out 100% perfect product, but you must have processes in place to make sure that you are either moving towards perfection or maintaining at as close to perfect as possible. I think that I kind of what Bob is alluding to. In a manufacturing plant, you get new inexperienced employees, new equipment, ect. . . so that even though you had a 99.999% success rate a month ago, that number can drift down and you must continually strive to improve or maintain (in the case of video poker, your memory fades). Maybe you can pump out more product if you don't worry about a 0.01% failure rate (the cost of replacement for a failed product and unhappy customer is less than the amount of money spent overcoming that 0.01%). You must run the numbers under your own set of conditions to figure out gives you the most profit. I think here is where Bob would say that it takes less money to overcome the 0.01% than to deal with this failure rate.
A business has to constantly evaluate and invest in new technologies and innovations to stay ahead of the game. In the case of video poker, these new technologies and innovations may come in the form of new training software. Therefore, anyone wishing to stay ahead of the game needs to know what is available and what new edge it may give them. If a players "business plan" strictly relies on single play 10/7 double bonus, you may be able to get by with "outdated" software such as winpoker (which in my opinion is a simple, and very strong tool that I use even though other software with more bells and whistles is available). Let's face it, single play 10/7 hasn't changed in 30+?? years. Investment in newer software such as Video Poker for Winners gives you tools that allow you to perfect strategies for newer games or different ways to evaluate each game (unfortunately I haven't invested in any of Dan's software yet so I can't make statements about it). Each investment gives you a broader toolset to attack with.
Bob and Dan are both selling roadmaps as wha stated. Both believe their roadmap will get you where you want to go the best way possible. Ultimately you should not rely on the map salesman, but your own evaluation of those maps under your own situations to figure out which is best. Part of the "fun" for me with video poker as a hobby has been gathering as much information as possible, evaluating the tools available, and making decisions based upon experimentation as to what set of tools and information works best for me. After this comes "more fun" field testing of strategies under real conditions in a casino. For a hobbiest, I think I've been pretty hardcore in my approach, but I'm sure I could do an even better job of learning the game. If someone relies on an income from video poker, it is evident to me that that person has to make their own "business plan" based upon their own research, experimentation, and business environment (e.g. casinos played, promotions offered, etc. . ) and not rely on upon any single source to provide that business plan. I would not want to turn professional unless I knew I possessed the skills to confidently and independently evaluate each unique situation presented. Ultimately, we are all going different places and should not rely on the same map to get us there.
Posted by: fhbarneb@yahoo.com
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