RE: Re: [vpFREE] RE: Today I was dealt a Sequential Royal Flush!

 

I have "an answer" to this question I thought I'd throw out. Say you're a tourist in Vegas, mostly into the club scene, gambling itself is repulsive to you and a total waste of time, however a "friend" makes a proposition: If you can survive 1000 hands of 9-6 jacks, totally on a lark, never having to gamble again in your lifetime, you will get some reward: cash, drugs, sex, food, drink, swag, whatever. You have a smart phone so you quickly ascertain the hit cycles and returns for the game for maxEV. Your benchmark is 5 cycles, that's what your stats guru told you, so only the stuff below a quad counts, and you count the returns of those up and you get a return of 91%. Now you know what 1000 hands will cost you in dollars, approximately, and you can decide whether or not the proposition is worth your time or not. If you decide to go through with this prop bet, you can further optimize your draw strategy as well, by discounting quads or better, getting a better return of almost 92%. Alternately, this "friend", could be a casino promotion.





---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <ed.miller@...> wrote:

Exactly how many hands is the long term? I haven't played much VP and now I don't want to start unless I know precisely how many hands to play.

Ed

On Nov 11, 2013 3:43 PM, "RWS" <realcaman92373@...> wrote:
 
Well congratulations on your results.   But that information doesn't address my original observation that those who play VP advantage really don't understand that they are not playing in the long term as far as statistical significance.    It's very likely that in your 25 years of play, your number of hands doesn't approach the long term either.








 




From: Queen of Comps <queenofcomps@...>
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Saturday, November 9, 2013 4:54 PM
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] RE: Today I was dealt a Sequential Royal Flush!

 
Playing over 25 years, only on positive VP plays (which include all cash extras, i.e., free play but not including comps), we have won an average of 40K per year.
 
------------------------------------------
Jean $¢ott, Frugal Gambler
http://queenofcomps.com/
You can read my blog at
http://jscott.lvablog.com/
 
From: RWS
Sent: Saturday, November 09, 2013 2:06 PM
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] RE: Today I was dealt a Sequential Royal Flush!
 
 
How is it that anyone feels their playtime at video poker even approaches long term math?   (millions of trials)  I have yet to see anyone explain that on this site.


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