I still remember a mistake I made once that was so bad it haunts me. This was a few YEARS ago. I was playing dollar pick'em, I was tired, and playing quickly like you mentioned, and I had something like 22-82, and picked the 8. lol I threw away TRIPS! I was beside myself, I was so upset, wondering how long it would take me to overcome such a horrible mistake. A few minutes later I just went home in disgust.
---In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <fivespot55@...> wrote:
you can make a half-dozen errors an hour playing JoB and still have an error rate under 0.01%, as long as they're not the bad errors. that's not the case in pickem. almost all errors in pickem are bad. having a real-world long-session pickem error rate under 0.07%, which is what you need for this play to be +EV at all, is HARD.
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