If I remember correctly, Bob Dancer in his last radio show said something like you need to be 99%+ on a simulator before you even consider playing vp for real money in a casino. At 95% Harrah's probably has you dominated, meaning you're going to be paying them, fine, as long as you don't mind being the sucker, I mean "valuable customer". You'd be better off just playing the freeplay by itself and see if you can get lucky and get the points you're hoping for. If you bust out, try to hustle a host for some more freeplay, or at least a food or spa comp or something. Or try to exchange for chips and play a table game. Or try to sell your freeplay to someone else or sell some of your action to someone, like they put up $100 and in exchange get $200 if a royal hits.
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "leetcrowell2" <lee.crowell@...> wrote:
>
> Interesting- of course this assumes I'm reasonably proficient- thank you all for not pointing out that obvious issue in this analysis- So if I'm 95% accurate with my play, 66.5% of the time I can get to 1,000 points (8,000 hand at $1.25 per hand) on $600-right? Even if I'm only 17% of the way through a royal cycle?
>
> I have trouble with wrapping my pea brain around the risk of ruin idea, so this helps for my scenario.
>
> Thanks again, Lee.
>
> > If you start with $600:
> > You'll be broke just 7% of the time before you have played 4000 hands.
> > You'll be broke 30% of the time before you have played 8000 hands.
> >
> > --Dunbar
>
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