You should play at least 1000 hands on WinPoker or some other software that will keep track of your errors, so that you have some kind of idea of what mistakes are costing you per hour. You can play VP on these programs very quickly so getting the data won't take much time.
If you are making errors that cost an extra 2% of the amt you bet ($12.50 every 500 hands), which would be huge, your $600 bankroll results would look like this:
Your chance of busting out before 4000 hands rises from 7% (no errors) to 15% (with errors)
Your chance of busting out before 8000 hands rises from 30% (no errors) to 48% (with errors).
You can see the importance of being competent before you start live play. That said, $12.50 an hour is a LOT of error. For example, even a big mistake like accidentally tossing one of your two-pair on a draw "only" costs $1.18.
--Dunbar
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "leetcrowell2" <lee.crowell@...> wrote:
>
> Interesting- of course this assumes I'm reasonably proficient- thank you all for not pointing out that obvious issue in this analysis- So if I'm 95% accurate with my play, 66.5% of the time I can get to 1,000 points (8,000 hand at $1.25 per hand) on $600-right? Even if I'm only 17% of the way through a royal cycle?
>
> I have trouble with wrapping my pea brain around the risk of ruin idea, so this helps for my scenario.
>
> Thanks again, Lee.
>
> > If you start with $600:
> > You'll be broke just 7% of the time before you have played 4000 hands.
> > You'll be broke 30% of the time before you have played 8000 hands.
> >
> > --Dunbar
>
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