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From: "Queen of Comps" <queenofcomps@cox.net>
To: <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 6 MAY 2012
Date: Mon, May 7, 2012 11:01 am
<<For those appropriately bankrolled for $5 play, I wouldn't expect someone to deem $1 MS play "brutal".>>
I usually agree with you, vp wiz, but not this time - from the viewpoint of someone who has played thousands and thousands of hours of MS. Brad and I have the bankroll to play – and we do play – up to $250 a hand (mostly on multi-lines at the higher levels). We have a high tolerance for big losses – although we don't think they are as much "fun" as wins. But we feel more frustrated more often with MS, even on the lower level of quarters, than on any other form of VP. "Brutal" is not a math term, I guess, but it describes our feeling when we go an extremely long time without a win, with many surprisingly large losses.
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Jean $¢ott, Frugal Gambler
http://queenofcomps.com/
You can read my blog at
http://jscott.lvablog.com/
From: vp_wiz
Sent: Monday, May 07, 2012 3:20 AM
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Jean Scott's Frugal Vegas LVA BLOG - 6 MAY 2012
"VpKing77" wrote:
>
> Jean and Brad must be one of the lucky ones that hit a couple of
> top line royals. It is not uncommon to lose over $5000 on a $1 9/6
> MS in two hours. Come in the next day and do the same.
Lower that threshold to about $4K in 2 hours and I expect you're pretty much on target. (It's my guess, off the top off my head, that odds drop considerably for a >= $5K loss, considering that the wager-weighted variance of 4-level Jacks play is roughly on par with $5 single line play.)
For those appropriately bankrolled for $5 play, I wouldn't expect someone to deem $1 MS play "brutal". (Not saying that was your characterization, VPKing.) Bear in mind that even if you never see that approx 1:320000 top line hit, you're still playing with an ER that's close to playing the same game in single line format (albeit with volatility at something like 1.2x that of the total wager played on a single line game).
Still, I can understand why some people will drive expectation based on the somewhat misleading "$1" denomination of the game.
- H.
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