[vpFREE] Re: Lack of quads

 



--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Misscraps <misscraps@...> wrote:
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> What I guess I am not expressing is that while playing 10 play I got dealt three of a joking Aces like 10 times, trip 2s say 5 times, trip 4s 5 times, trip 3s 2 times, trip kings 3 times, trip 10s once, 9s 2 times, 8s 3 times, 7s twice, 6s 3 times, 5a twice, and yet in the entire time only got at most (I wasn't counting) quad 7s once out of the entire results.

Looks to me like the games were biased in your favor on the deal: twice as many trip Aces as any other card!!

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> Add that all up and it we are talking maybe 35 instances to dealt trips x 10 lines, yet only one final line of any quads. You should get the final quad card holding 3 dealts more often than 1 in 47 times, cause u already saw 5 cards, isn't it basically the redraw of 1 card is a 1 in 46 chance, and the redraw of the second empty space is 1 in 45... I'm not mathematically educated enough to give u the exact probability for 1 line with 3 dealt, but I'm getting that on average you should end up getting about 7 or more final quad results in my 10 play 35 instances of trips dealt example and 1 final quad seems a bit odd!
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> The thing is, this is not the only time this has happened to me over the past year or three. it seems all too common for 5 play, which is what I usually play, over and over and over (sorry I wasn't counting, but I guess I should), 3 of a kind dealt on multi-lines, and no final quads or very few (fewer than expected, not more than expected).
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> Yet I do get quads holding 1, 2, or even 0 cards.
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> The averages seem to work out pretty much as expected for single line. I am specifically talking about multi line oddity. And 3 play seems too be more normal than 5 or 10 play.
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> Hope this is a little more understandable to those of you who just don't want to believe the random number generators could be off.
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My last time getting dealt 4-to-a-royal in 10-play, I drew 2 RF's. There's less than a 2% chance of drawing 2 or more RF's in that situation. That's roughly the same chance of being blanked on quads 9 times in a row when drawing to trips. Maybe the multilines are compensating for the dearth of quads by giving out more RF's. ;>)

Seriously, it sounds to me that you are keeping a very loose count of your results on multiline quads. As has been said many times, we tend to remember the bad streaks better than the good streaks.

If you are truly interested in this topic, then you should keep an accurate log going forward. I'd suggest forcing yourself to write down something BEFORE you draw to trips. That way, you'll avoid the bias of only remembering the times you're blanked. If you forget to write down a note before a particular draw, then that draw doesn't count in your stats regardless of the outcome.

--Dunbar

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