[vpFREE] Re: Progressive Play Disclaimer

 



Interesting question Bob.

I can't list a recommended bankroll for 9/6 JoB because as it is a negative expectancy game, you are expected to lose whatever you bring to the table. Using the same equations I did for the M progressive would put the BR requirement at infinite. Play enough, you lose, end of story.

I believe the reason Judy is having trouble understanding these numbers is because she hasn't crunched the numbers for the games she feels are safer. Let's do that now.

Using the Risk of Ruin formula in VPW for quarters, to have a 1 in 1000 RoR we need the following bankrolls for these four popular games:

FPDW = $17,620

5-7-T Dbl BoPo = $92,672

NSUD = Infinite

9/6 JoB = Infinite

Taken in context the $20,000 amount I stated as a BR requirement for M is very reasonable and only slightly more than what you are supposed to have to play quarter Full-Pay Deuces Wild.

My guess is that most people are playing everything with less than recommended bankroll and therefore take issue when a reasonable BR requirement is posted for an individual game without a frame of reference handy for comparison. If I had know that this was needed I would have posted it sooner. Sorry. I thought everyone was familiar with RoR calculations.

If you own a copy of VPW or OpVP, they both contain RoR calculations. I recommend running your game of choice though, and enter ".01" in the chance of ruin field, and then click on calculate BR requirement.

You'll find that $20,000 is not only reasonable it's on the low side.

~FK

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Bob Bartop" <bobbartop@...> wrote: And how much of a bankroll would you want to play for a "normal" $1000 royal, say on 9-6 JoB or something like that? About 4 or 5 times the royal? And Frank DID mention something like a 1 in a 1000 risk of ruin. Sounds like Frank is a cautious man. Nothing wrong with that.
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> But don't let me stop you from putting a negative spin on it.
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