--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "ThomasS" <tomskilv@...> wrote:
>
> In the last 6 months of 2010 I only played 185,000 hands of VP and had a 97.33% return despite the machine only EV of 99.62%. Needless to say I lost despite all the cash back and mailers for my play.
>
> So far in 2011, I have played 108,000 hands and my return is 97.44% vs a machine only EV of 99.56%. Again I am losing for the year with all the perks added in.
>
> Bottom line, to have a 97.37% return or less after 293,000 hands when average game played returns 99.60 will happen only 1 in 150 times.
>
> I guess I beat the odds. TomSki
>
Your statement is true with 100% mathematically perfect play. However, if your play is less than perfect, say 97-98% perfect play, the chances for the results that you received increases significantly. Also, keep in mind, if your play is at or very near 100% perfect, after only a couple thousand hands of good luck (such as 2-3 royal flushes) your results may then be at or even above the expected return .
