I did some work on this before and came up with .2% as the card value.
But they had gen 1, 2, 3 and 4 cards. And the return of each was different. I think gen 1 was 1.17%.
I did not save the info or the math work. So here's a tip for calculating it yourself.
When you are trying to hit things like a bingo card fill, that involve multiple overlapping cycles, you have to include the effect of standard deviation and waste into your equations.
Not being related to progressives, I'd have to think about it for a long time to give you the exact formula, but I can put the question to some of my mathy friends, this coming Thursday and see if they have something already.
No need to reinvent the wheel. Expect a post on Friday.
~FK
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@...> wrote:
>
> I've been trying to come with an average number of hands on 9/6 JoB or 8/5 BP to complete a Bingo card. The five hardest spots to fill are a royal flush and a straight flush in all 4 suits. I know the cycle for a RF is about 40k and a SF is about 10k. In the 40k royal cycle you will have an average of 4 SF's but probably not one in each of the 4 suits. My gut feeling is the normal cycle for all 4 suites of SF will be somewhere around 80k to 100k hands. Am I close?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
