Poker Poker Poker!: [vpFREE] Re: The VP MENSA MYTH LIVES ON

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Harry Porter" <harry.porter@...> wrote:
>
> Craig wrote:
> > Just before switching back to $1 per hand, I remember thinking the
> > calculated amount for your bankroll (before hitting a royal) at $5
> > per hand was something like $30k. I just looked it up in the "Frugal
> > Gambler." It says $12,000 (pg 75). Even this is too much of a
> > bankroll for me - right now.
>
> It's been some time since I've referenced Frugal Gambler. Jean's
> subsequent texts, "More Frugal Gambling" and "Frugal Video Poker",
> offer stronger play guidance. I've misplaced my copy of the original
> book so can't reference the language you cite.
>
> I'll note that the "bankroll" concept usually is expressed in terms of
> dollars set aside for all cumulative losses in play -- not just those
> until the next royal. That's because after hitting a RF, continued
> losses might deplete it and more, taking you further into the red.
>
> In "More ...", Jean cites a "3 royal" bankroll number (which, for $
> play, would be $12,000) as a guideline only for play with a strong
> player edge (say 1%+, e.g. full-pay deuces with cb) and where play is
> accurate.
>
> A game such as you're playing (9/6 JB) is subject to greater loss
> potential, even when offset with a respectable cashback rate. You're
> at great risk of a cumulative 3 RF equivalent loss -- with active play
> of 10 hr/mo this might quite possibly occur within a year's timespan.
> Generally speaking, it might be deemed advisable to take on active JB
> play only if you're prepared to accept a cumulative loss potential of
> 8-10 royals over the extended term of play. (Maybe this was the
> context in which you saw the $30K number you mention.)
>
> You might wish to tap features within software such as VP for Winners,
> Frugal VP, or Wolf VP, to get a better feel for the loss prospects in
> play.
>
> - Harry
>

My 30k reference was an error - the book said 12k. I know that this
is a projected amount - "your mileage may vary." I also know that my
short run numbers are irrelevant. Being able to calculate a positive
return at this point has no bearing on my future return. I just hope
my luck runs better than the average. At this point, I am just
enjoying myself. The biggest draw for me is the free concerts at
their 'wolf's den.'

VP at the Mohegan Sun is a tough game - not many good machines. If
the (coming soon) Massachusetts casinos can reduce the number of
players, maybe the casino would introduce 25 cent 9/6 machines. But I
doubt it.

I think my first stop in Vegas will be a bookstore for some more
reference materials (any recommendations???). I might play another
game while in the oasis, but will be playing 25 cent machines. I am
happy that this forum exists. Its helping me think about my game play
and how to avoid dumb play.