Re: [vpFREE] New Boyd Rule YAH

 

How to spot an advantage player.

1. They only play the best games in the casino.
2. They only play when there is a good promotion on.
3. They play a very consistent amount, never going a penny over what the best mailer will bring them.
4. Their playing patterns seldom vary unless a new promotion is on.

If you don't think this would be hard to spot, then I think you are wrong.

I agree that there are not a lot of advantage players around. I don't believe that they hit a casino and never
return. I believe that most casinos worry too much about advantage players. I agree that those taking Dancer's classes are not advantage players. I agree that a lot of casinos don't differentiate between players that get on a lucky streak versus true advantage players, but I think that is because they don't have a sufficiently sophisticated system to spot the patterns of an advantage player, they usually just look at winners and losers over a set period of time.

Regards
A.P.

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From: "nightoftheiguana2000@yahoo.com [vpFREE]" <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Monday, January 9, 2017 5:43 PM
Subject: Re: [vpFREE] New Boyd Rule YAH

AP wrote: "If I ran a casino I'd also try to discourage advantage players, because I'd like to stay in business."

The problem is that it's practically impossible to figure out who the advantage players are. What are you going to do, ban everyone who has ever taken a Bob Dancer class? Chances are there are actually very few true advantage players in a Bob Dancer class, think about it, he teaches nothing of value to true advantage players. Bob himself claims to be an advantage player, but then he says he relies heavily on other income to support his gambling. Again, think about it. Several times on his radio show he has confused true EV with actual results which were more luck based, possibly intentionally, but again, you do the math. You might think you already know a bunch of friends who all claim to be advantage players, again, very few if any are probably actual advantage gamblers. You might think you can spot advantage players at your casino, but you will never spot the true travelling pros and by the time you get even close, they are long gone to the next casino or the next town or the next country, the modern day Keyser Soze's. You might decide to back off everyone who wins this quarter, but then you unintentionally catch all those who lost more the previous quarters, and you miss those who take steps to thwart your tracking cards or don't even use them.

If I owned a casino and was concerned about losses, I would concentrate on insider cheating, study after study has shown that an order of magnitude more money leaves a casino via insider cheating than by customer cheating or so-called "advantage play".

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Posted by: Albert Pearson <ehpee@rogers.com>
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