Sometimes, for kicks, I will play a game on Winpoker that is no longer available. Recently, I was playing 17/10 loose deuces and decided to play it as a 10 play, $5 game.
My results have been unusually good, even for a highly positive game.
Dealt hands 4644
Total hands 46440
Return 117.10%
Royal Flush 4
Deuces 16
Now, that is about 3 more royal flushes than expected ( 12,000 coins) and about 6.1 more deuces than expected ( 15,250 coins). But I am ahead 39,705 coins. That means on the non RF/non deuce hands, I am ahead about 12,455 coins, when the expected return for the non RF/non deuce hands is 89.20% or a loss of 25,077 coins. That just seems like a huge difference from expected value on the more common hands. And due to multitasking while playing ( and not having played loose deuces in a long time) I also lost 41.66 coins due to errors ( 0.17% error rate which is about a magnitude of order too high)
Aside from this being a fantasy situation, has anyone else seen very unusual results on Winpoker? I have played about 1 royal cycle but for the lesser paying hands, I have played many cycles, over 70 on the wild royal flush and those are all well above expected value. Also, there hasn't been any dealt quads, maybe 1 dealt WRF and 1 or 2 dealt SFs.
A couple of conclusions:
1) 10 play has much different variance than single line
2) Everyone on this board should buy the new DRA that does up to 10 play ROR calcs.
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Posted by: greeklandjohnny@aol.com
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