RE: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LVA - 17 JUN 2014

 

NOTI wrote: Bob wrote: "Interestingly, a single pair is dealt exactly 20 times as often as trips are dealt. Not ABOUT 20 times. EXACTLY. I'm sure there is a simple explanation for this, but I have not yet discovered it."

They have the same structure so wouldn't you expect an integer multiple? Trips are 3 cards of the same rank and 2 kickers, a Pair is 2 cards of the same rank and 3 kickers. I would also expect the quad to be an integer multiple since it is 4 cards of the same rank and 1 kicker.


 

 
You are correct. Trips are 88 times as likely as quads, which in turn are 1760 times as likely as a pair.


It's not at all obvious to me why this is the case. Yes I read what you wrote, but to me full houses are a special category of trips (i.e. those where the two kickers happen to be paired.) If you add the full houses to the trips, they are 94 times as common as quads.



Clearly your mathematical intuition is superior to mine.


Bob


 

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Posted by: Bob Dancer <bobdancervp@hotmail.com>
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