I imagine Bob is accurate when he labels his statement a "theory" (I'll paraphrase that statement here: "The surest means to a profitable vp career is to consistently play with an advantage and, when you play, to play the strongest EV opportunity that is supported by your bankroll")
But to me, that's like saying if you never tie your shoelaces, you'll very likely trip over them and stumble. In both instances, the suggested connection seems fairly obvious, and not subject to debate (except, in the original instance, by those who reject basic statistics, in which case there's no real basis for debate ... one party believes play to be driven by statistical principals; the other doesn't -- end of story).
------
Still a player who opts for an inferior game (say 9/7 db or 9/6 ddb vs 9/6 jb) rarely argues that a ER sacrifice isn't involved. They just deem any such sacrifice nominal ("they're still playing a good game") and more than compensated in play enjoyment.
I'm satisfied that players reasonably gravitate to the games that will yield the greatest satisfaction. However, I'm convinced that the majority of such "inferior EV" seekers haven't really scratched out what their choices may sacrifie in a year's time, and longer. A skilled $1 player may be leaving as much as $25+/hr "expectation" on the table in playing 9/6 ddb vs jacks, accumulating to $10k+ annually for a strongly active
player.
When the play is going strong, that "hit" might not be felt too badly. But when luck
sours, the absence of that cumulative cushion will be noticable.
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, vpFREE Administrator <vpfree3355@...> wrote:
>
> Bob Dancer's LV Advisor Column - 13 AUG 2013
>
> "Theory or Fact?"
>
> http://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/bob_dancer/2013/0813.cfm
>
>
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