I had looked at the ROR numbers and did bankroll calculations and all told me I might take a beating or was over my head.
My trainer sessions reinforced that. I would say on $1000 bankroll $5 JoB I would lose the whole thing 3/10 times before 100 hands, +100-250 4/10, -100-+100 2/10 and +250+ 1/10.
I do go high and low within a session of $1 as high as $400 up and as low as $550 down. I just fell into the I am immune to math idiocy, at least I'm not in denial. I did jump back into my smaller pond. I did not think I was immune to gravity at least.
You are correct about VPFree but there are some things just not there like that while the $1/5 JoB at Resorts is in a smoking area it is very empty, or that the machines are in need of repair or there are some funky progressives at one casino not listed. Or the ACH VP player that always tries to give you the wrong info or starts chain smoking when he knows it bothers you but never seems to smoke otherwise.
If I could do it over I would pick a different combination of play locations. I even played around with GN because I was a Landry's patron. There are plays and promotions that you just have to be boots on the ground to see or figure out. These forum are great but I think I will have to find the yellow brick road on my own
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "vp_wiz" <harry.porter@...> wrote:
> Bob B succinctily responds to that claim ;)
>
> Your posts reflect a decent measure of common sense and rationality (which is why I bothered to probe your motivations for the $5 foray). But it's clear that thre's much fodder on these groups from which you can benefit.
>
> You suggest that most of your short session jb results stay within a 2%-4% loss cap. That would be rather exceptional. My gut reaction (from 15 years of play) would be that a 6% cap would cover 60% of 2000 hand sessions, with 10% loss experience hardly being an outlier (20% would be an outlier, but not unheard of).
>
> Software tools, such as VP for winners, provide an exceptional means bywhich to guage potential loss exposure when tackling a play that lies outside of your standard monetary risk exposure, and is well worth the investment.
>
> As far as potential venues for taking a Diamond in a day run, vpfree2.com is chock full of accessible alternatives. I would suggest that a something such as a multiplay $.25 machine (or perhaps 3-play $1) machine would be much more apt, in terms of bankroll risk. These are available in several venues.
>
> Researching alternative venues by browsing archived posts here and te harrahscasinos forum will offer some intel on where thr rewards for such play might be a bit richer.
>
> Frankly, I'm gonna speculaye that you benefit fron a guardian angel, who shied you away from the CLV $5 machines, before you found yourself heabily invested in an adverse session. (True, it would have been far kinder to just flop a RF for you ... But, I've yet to stumble on that type of leprachaun :)
>
> - H.
>
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "richard d" <cdgnpc@> wrote:
> >
> > You can stare at the stats but my $1 9/6 play never had anywhere near that swing. My typical $5-10k session is plus or minus $1-200. So I let the anecdotal trump them impirical. I am not the only guilty of that. I also had an idea of trying to make up that lost EV at a invitation only multiplier event.
> > I live in NYC so my options are slimmer than in LV.
>
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