Frank wrote:
... One of my major concerns for this utility is that it be strategy independent. If one were to track made paying hands, strategy would influence the frequencies and bias the results...
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Frank,
I think that a study like this (involving results) is the best:
http://wizardofodds.com/online-gambling/blr/
Keeping track of things like completing full houses from dealt two pairs, completing quads from dealt trips, and completing royals from dealt four to a royal can help us decide whether machines are random or not (these are the things that lead us to believe they aren't).
Just keeping track of how many times a card appears over so many cycles seems like a fairly easy programming way to gaffe a machine. For example, if I need 7c to complete a quad and don't get it, but it pops up in the next hand, and this happens 150 times in a row...I'm suspicious about the randomness, but the card has appeared right on schedule. The Wizard did a test like this on the 5Dimes website a few years ago, but I can't find it now.
Speaking of making a royal from dealt 4RF, does anyone have info on the Western Wisconsin casino (about 20 years ago) that got caught changing chips? The programming was done so that if you actually were going to complete the royal, another card would be drawn, so that the probability of completing the a royal was 1/47^2.
