Another good example of a misconception. The kid may even have been talking from actual experience and things he witnessed himself, and his observations may even have been accurate. Exactly like the Air Force Flight Instructors, his major mistake might have been failing to account for randomness, and connecting dots that were never related.
I believe the heuristic most likely to cause such thought would be the representativeness heuristic.
~FK
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Mickey" <mickeycrimm@...> wrote:
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Frank" <frank@> wrote:
> >
> > Wow...I'm surprised that in two days no one has posted their favorite casino misconception and discussed what heuristic might cause it.
> >
> >
> I live in an area where there are plenty of machine players but no one has any concept of how a video poker or video keno game works. Here's one of the misconceptions I observe: If you see someone dump a bunch of money in a machine without hitting anything, then that's the machine you want to play because it's due to hit. The only thing I can attribute to this way of thinking is just pure ignorance.
>
> And the other morning I was in a casino checking meters. The slot attendent, a twentysomething kid, asked if he could help me find a game. I said I was checking the meters and said "why should I play for a low meter when I can play for a high one?" His response was "I've found the game plays better when the meter is low." I hadn't had my morning coffee yet and wasn't suffering the fool very well. Not finding a play I walked out the door muttering to myself about dumasses and idiots.
>
