--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, peter boyd <boyd_peter@...> wrote: I guess the one that I hear the most is, "I don't use my player's club card as I never seem to hit or win when that is in". Or, at least some variable of that sentence!
Ahh...yes, the old I do better with no player card trick.
Here's the problem, and why this gets started: From any given point in time there are only two ways to go, up or down. Pause, do something different, and then you'll either do worse or better from that imaginary point of demarcation you created in your own mind on.
Half the people that try playing without a card, do worse and resume playing with one. The other half do better, and link their improved results with the change they made. Once they decide they are doing better due to no card it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy, because they now compare how they are doing to an imaginary worse case scenario and never go back.
Scientists would say the belief lacks falsifiability. If someone makes the statement, "I do better playing without a card, there's no way to prove them wrong, because they have no 'playing with a card' results to compare them to. In science things that can't be proved wrong are considered non-scientific. ~FK
The primary bias involved is confirmation bias.
