Re: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LV Advisor Column - 10 JAN 2012

 

Much appreciated MC.

I tried weekly NFL betting a few years ago, did great the first year but tanked the second. Haven't done it again until Dec. and I'm quitting while ahead this time around. Sportsbetting boggles the mind most of the time and I don't have the stomach to do it often. That parlay---I expected four nail biters but each game was a blowout by halftime. Didn't even have to sweat. Biggest win I've had since a $25 royal in the past. Fezzik would be proud :)

----- Reply message -----
From: "Mickey" <mickeycrimm@yahoo.com>

Hi, Rob. If you went 3 for 6 on the $100 bets then you broke even on your picks but would have lost a little money to the juice.

Parleys are different from straight bets. Percentagewise they're considered much tougher bets. I don't know what a 4 for 4 pays but the odds of hitting it are based on it being a coin flip as to whether each of your picks cover. So it would be .5 X .5 X .5 X .5. That's a win percentage of 6.25%. So the chances of hitting a four teamer are 1 in 16.

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