[vpFREE] Re: Math v. Superstition?

 

The "error" is not in changing machines because you've had a "cold streak". The error is thinking / believing that changing machines will really make a difference in future outcome. The other reasons for changing machines are done with a belief that it will be less drafty, that the lighting will be better, that you will be in better company, etc. -- expectations that may have a more factual basis, and good reason for "believing" that THOSE changes will occur. But to think your "luck will change" with a machine change is NOT a reasonable expectation unless you believe that different machines with the same computer hardware are in fact statistically different in their expected performance for mysterious reasons that we can't perceive.

--BG
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> 1.1. Re: Math v. Superstition?
>     Date: Wed Dec 14, 2011 9:18 am ((PST))
>
> I have never understood the "purists" scoffing at people
> who change machines after a "cold" streak.  The fact is
> that it really doesn't matter which machine you use - the
> odds are identical - so if one chooses to change machines
> because of an annoying draft, bad lighting, an obnoxious
> player nearby, wanting a change of scenery, or tiring of
> putting money in and getting none back, it makes no
> difference.  One can continue on the same machine or
> move, and it should make no difference - so why the flap if
> you decide to move to a new machine?  Makes no sense to
> me. 
>

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