--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, marccarfi@... wrote:
>
> Johnny,No,I'm not trying to say that.The probabilties are the same.IF a streak is going to occur(and I don't know that),I'm trying to catch it,that's all.If it doesn't occur ,Then I'm wrong .
Marc,
Certainly you're among the more schizophrenic players I've encountered ...
You demonstrate that you not only grasp the underlying math, but fully accept it. Yet, rather than trust the math, like an intrepid surfer you seek out a wave of good hands that will make you a winner.
But i get that this is what works for you (so far), and there's little that's going sway you into abandoning this play style.
Again, I'll speculate that the real driving force here is an inadequate psychological bankroll for 5-coin play ... And that until you confront that challenge you rob yourself of some of the real satisfacton of "advantage play".
Most 5-coin players accept that vp is largely a losing game over the medium haul until they pull ahead with a 800:1 payout RF. You continually put yourself at risk that when you hit, it'll be a 250:1 (or other shortcoin) payoff. Bottom line, this risk, inherent in your play, is what will make your game a losing one in the not so long run.
- H.
