life," I'm just using this to demonstrate my point.
Suppose you are dealt 4 to an inside straight, all low cards, no straight
flush possibilities, and one high card. Drawing to an inside straight is a
big no-no in JoB in this case. If you have no multiplier, it is very likely
that you hold 4 to the inside straight - in fact, I would, if I were
playing. Because my EV for the hand is the 20 credits I would get, plus the
7x multiplier which is huge. If I hold the high card, I'll have a higher EV
for this hand, but likely a lower multiplier on the next hand.
Now suppose you have a 10x multiplier with the same dealt hand. This is a
situation where it's more important to maximize the EV on *this* hand rather
worry about the next hand. You still care about the next hand, but I think
the 10x overshadows that concern. So you hold the high card, because that
yields the highest EV on this particular hand.
I hope this helps.
On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 9:50 AM, vegasvpplayer <vegasvpplayer@gmail.com>wrote:
> **
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Jason Pawloski <jpawloski@...> wrote:
> >
> > DEFINITELY not. Since your actions on this hand affects the multiplier on
> > your hand, you can't keep the multiplier and the hand strategy
> "independent"
> > like you can in STP.>>>>
>
> You mean your actions on this hand affects the multiplier on your NEXT
> hand, don't you? Remember I'm talking about a single line Ultimate X game,
> so you are playing for a single multiplier on the next hand, so why isn't
> the strategy always the same?
>
>
> << In STP you have no control over your multiplier; you
> > either win it or you don't. In UX you have complete control over your
> > multiplier.
> >
>
> Understood.
>
>
> > Your Multistrike analysis is very astute. In Multistrike, your optimal
> > strategy is some mix of hit frequency (to get you to the next level) and
> pay
> > back contribution on that level. If you take too much in the pay back
> > contribution category, you lose in the hit frequency category and lose in
> > your overall EV. Likewise, if you take too much hit frequency, you are
> > losing payback % on that particular level and losing in the overall EV.
> The
> > correct strategy is somewhere in between.
> >
>
> Why isn't playing a single line Ultimate X game like always playing a level
> 3 hand in Multistrike? In both examples you are playing a strategy to
> maximize return on the current hand plus get a multiplier on you next hand,
> if and only if you win the current hand.
>
>
>
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
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