Thanks , my mistake,
M J
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "AK-SAR-BEN" <tomskilv@...> wrote:
>
> You failed to take into account strategy. With 3 to royal, Ace hi, you would choose hi pair over 3 to royal. ie. If dealt AsKs Kh Qs you would choose Kh. Thus royal cycle is longer than 342,870. It is 351,817.7. TomSki
>
>
>
> --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Don Del Grande" <don.delgrande@> wrote:
> >
> > I get 1 in 342,870.
> >
> > There are 52 x 51 x 50 x 49 x 48 x 47 x 46 x 45 permutations for the eight cards in a specific order (say, up1, up2, up3a, down1a, down2a, up3b, down1b, down2b).
> > To get a royal, both of the "common" up cards have to be 2 to the same royal; there are 20 possibilities for the first card, and, for each of these, four for the second card.
> > If the other three cards in the royal are in "group A", it's 3 choices for the up card, 2 for the "first" down card, and 1 for the "second" down card - and, for each of these, 47 x 46 x 45 for the three "group B" cards. Since "group B" is symmetrical to group A, multiply this by 2.
> >
> > Thus, there are 20 x 4 x (2 x (3 x 2 x 1 x 47 x 46 x 45)) different ways to get a RF in Pick'em.
> >
> > Divide this by the number of permutations = 1/342,870.
> >
> > -- Don
> >
> >
> > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "AK-SAR-BEN" <tomskilv@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Not sure where you got the misquote from me for 90k royal cycle. But that is not correct. The exact cycle length per my caculations is 351,817.7 hands. TomSki
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "mklpryy24" <mklpryy24@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "bobbartop" <bobbartop@> wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "mklpryy24" <mklpryy24@> wrote:
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Hit royal on a pick-em poker game 2 mondays ago, a 1 in a 90k shot.
> > > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > Royals come around about every 350,000 in fp pickem. Once you're looking at three parts to it, it's just another 2-card draw. Easy peasy.
> > > > >
> > > > per tomSki royal flush cycle is 90k+
> > > >
> > > > MJ
> > > >
> > >
> >
>
